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FC Dynamo Makhachkala v Spartak Moscow

2026-11-22 13:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Local)

Prediction 15.32%6.53fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -0.503%
Kelly -0.598%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.02%15.32%15.32%15.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.136.226.3217.39%16.31%16.06%15.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Spartak Moscow (Visit)

Prediction 63.25%1.58fair odd
EV -0.704%
Edge -0.449%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.28%63.25%63.25%63.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.511.511.5768.03%66.01%66.23%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.43%4.67fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.495%
Kelly -0.634%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.28%21.43%21.43%21.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.424.464.5623.81%22.64%22.45%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Local): 15.32%; Spartak Moscow (Visit): 63.25%; Draw: 21.43%. For Spartak Moscow (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.57, with an expected value of -0.704%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯6.32I 15.82%NM 15.02%EV -3.18%E -0.503%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.70%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.28%EV -4.40%E -0.987%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-09 13:10
1xBet🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 15.64%EV -3.49%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.75%EV -0.704%E -0.449%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.61%EV -2.26%E -0.495%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.5%2026-11-09 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.62%EV -5.78%E -0.941%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.79%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.59%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 12:05
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -11.91%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-09 12:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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