The School of Odds
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FC Dynamo Makhachkala v Rodina Moscow

2026-09-06 13:15 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Local)

Prediction 55.13%1.81fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.732%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%55.13%55.13%55.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.731.731.7959.52%57.72%57.80%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rodina Moscow (Visit)

Prediction 20.69%4.83fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.542%
Kelly -0.688%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.50%20.69%20.69%20.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.584.614.7122.73%21.82%21.69%21.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.18%4.14fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.454%
Kelly -0.603%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.10%24.18%24.18%24.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.943.954.0626.32%25.40%25.35%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Local): 55.13%; Rodina Moscow (Visit): 20.69%; Draw: 24.18%. For FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.79, with an expected value of -1.31%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.92%EV -1.31%E -0.732%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.87%EV -2.55%E -0.542%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 24.21%EV -1.84%E -0.454%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-30 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.88%EV -4.83%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.25%EV -4.26%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 19:14
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.39%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.50%EV -4.41%E -0.956%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.10%EV -4.99%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 19:20
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 19:16
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.