The School of Odds

FC Dynamo Makhachkala v Lokomotiv Moscow

2026-08-01 15:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Local)

Prediction 26.18%3.82fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -0.660%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.07%26.18%26.21%26.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.623.633.7528.57%27.61%27.55%26.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Lokomotiv Moscow (Visit)

Prediction 44.64%2.24fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.07%44.64%44.88%44.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.122.1948.78%47.13%47.17%45.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.18%3.43fair odd
EV -0.202%
Edge -0.059%
Kelly -0.083%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%29.18%28.92%29.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.273.293.4232.26%30.54%30.40%29.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25%EV -1.82%E -0.484%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.96%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.79%EV -0.202%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-26 14:30
Marathon Bet3.68I 27.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.65%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.96%EV -4.03%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -1.95%E -0.581%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 14:31
Pinnacle3.63I 27.55%NM 26.21%EV -4.96%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.92%EV -4.00%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 15:30
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 14:45
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 14:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.