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FC Dynamo Makhachkala v FK Rostov

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 12:15 UTC

Final: FC Dynamo Makhachkala 0–3 FK Rostov

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Local)

Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV +0.021%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.80%26.75%26.60%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.593.7630.30%28.34%27.86%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FK Rostov (Visit)

Prediction 43.18%2.32fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.493%
Kelly -0.875%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.67%43.04%43.18%43.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.202.202.2946.73%45.54%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.22%3.31fair odd
EV +0.645%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.277%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.53%30.20%30.22%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.153.103.3333.33%31.73%32.26%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Local): 26.60%; FK Rostov (Visit): 43.18%; Draw: 30.22%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.645%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 27.43%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.00%EV -1.13%E -0.493%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.57%EV +0.645%E +0.194%K +0.277%G +0.002%1.6%2026-11-01 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.04%EV -3.72%E -1.67%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -1.77%E -0.546%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 11:15
Pinnacle🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.80%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%EV -4.15%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.50%EV -3.89%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.61%E -3.55%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.31%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 11:50
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.61%E -3.55%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.31%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 11:54
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.17%E -3.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.31%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 11:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.33%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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