The School of Odds
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FC Dynamo Makhachkala v FC Akron Tolyatti

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 13:30 UTC

Final: FC Dynamo Makhachkala 1–1 FC Akron Tolyatti

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Local)

Prediction 41.94%2.38fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.796%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.23%41.60%41.94%42.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.272.3446.51%44.14%44.05%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Akron Tolyatti (Visit)

Prediction 29.30%3.41fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -0.914%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.99%29.39%29.30%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.213.153.3131.75%31.11%31.75%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.76%3.48fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.910%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.50%29.01%28.76%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.253.203.3731.75%30.73%31.25%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Local): 41.94%; FC Akron Tolyatti (Visit): 29.30%; Draw: 28.76%. For FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.34, with an expected value of -1.86%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.23%EV -1.86%E -0.796%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:10
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.23%EV -1.86%E -0.796%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:10
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.74%EV -2.70%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.44%EV -3.61%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.82%EV -3.36%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-17 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.27%EV -4.80%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.08%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 13:09
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.22%E -2.31%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.01%EV -3.02%E -0.914%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.50%EV -3.07%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 13:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 13:15
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.83%E -4.57%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 13:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.