Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Dynamo Makhachkala v CSKA Moscow

2026-09-17 17:45 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

30%

42%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Local)

Prediction 29.68%3.37fair odd

EV -2.06%

Edge -0.625%

Kelly -0.897%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.13%29.58%29.68%29.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.103.173.153.3032.26%31.52%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSKA Moscow (Visit)

Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd

EV -1.57%

Edge -0.666%

Kelly -1.16%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.47%41.76%41.71%42.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.142.252.242.3646.73%44.39%44.64%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.61%3.49fair odd

EV -0.992%

Edge -0.287%

Kelly -0.403%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.36%28.66%28.61%29.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.153.283.253.4631.75%30.46%30.77%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Local): 29.68%; CSKA Moscow (Visit): 41.71%; Draw: 28.61%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.46, with an expected value of -0.992%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%EV -2.06%E -0.625%K -0.897%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.71%EV -1.57%E -0.666%K -1.16%G +0.000%	3.46I 28.90%NM 28.45%EV -0.992%E -0.287%K -0.403%G +0.000%	1.6%	2026-09-13 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.83%EV -4.44%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.76%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%	3.38I 29.59%NM 28.42%EV -3.28%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 12:49
Pinnacle🎯	3.19I 31.35%NM 29.87%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.61%EV -4.49%E -1.96%K -3.48%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 28.53%EV -4.43%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.47%EV -6.58%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-13 14:10
BetUS🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.47%EV -6.58%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-13 14:10
Bovada🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-13 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -10.75%E -5.02%K -9.43%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-09-13 11:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.