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FC Baltika Kaliningrad v Zenit St Petersburg

2026-09-16 17:45 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Baltika Kaliningrad (Local)

Prediction 21.48%4.65fair odd
EV +0.333%
Edge +0.071%
Kelly +0.091%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.10%21.81%21.48%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.304.304.6725.00%23.24%23.26%21.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zenit St Petersburg (Visit)

Prediction 51.37%1.95fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.988%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.37%51.26%51.37%52.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.831.861.9158.48%54.52%53.76%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.15%3.68fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.553%
Kelly -0.765%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%26.93%27.15%27.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.453.503.6129.85%28.95%28.57%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Baltika Kaliningrad (Local): 21.48%; Zenit St Petersburg (Visit): 51.37%; Draw: 27.15%. For FC Baltika Kaliningrad (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.67, producing a positive expected value of +0.333%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 21.10%EV +0.333%E +0.071%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.60%EV -1.89%E -0.988%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.30%EV -2.00%E -0.553%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-12 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.10%EV -2.25%E -0.494%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.62%EV -4.46%E -2.40%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.44%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:00
Pinnacle🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.47%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:05
Bovada🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -7.62%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.55%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 18:07
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75%EV -12.16%E -7.11%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.06%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 18:56
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.06%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 18:56
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.