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FC Baltika Kaliningrad v Rubin Kazan

2026-08-24 17:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Baltika Kaliningrad (Local)

Prediction 46.08%2.17fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.868%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.01%46.08%46.08%46.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.082.1350.00%48.31%48.19%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rubin Kazan (Visit)

Prediction 24.36%4.10fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.330%
Kelly -0.438%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%24.36%24.36%24.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.923.924.0526.32%25.48%25.48%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.56%3.38fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -0.675%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.54%29.56%29.56%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.243.3332.26%31.01%30.91%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Baltika Kaliningrad (Local): 46.08%; Rubin Kazan (Visit): 24.36%; Draw: 29.56%. For Rubin Kazan (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.05, with an expected value of -1.34%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.18%EV -1.85%E -0.868%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.29%EV -1.34%E -0.330%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.54%EV -1.57%E -0.473%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-17 11:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%EV -4.15%E -2.00%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 11:25
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.01%EV -4.61%E -2.23%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.58%EV -4.82%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 11:35
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 09:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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