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FC Baltika Kaliningrad v FK Rostov

2026-10-18 17:45 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Baltika Kaliningrad (Local)

Prediction 44.09%2.27fair odd
EV -0.354%
Edge -0.157%
Kelly -0.281%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.60%44.09%44.16%44.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.142.2647.62%46.30%46.73%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FK Rostov (Visit)

Prediction 25.24%3.96fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -0.730%
Kelly -0.986%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%25.24%25.06%26.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.723.703.8528.17%26.90%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd
EV -0.646%
Edge -0.199%
Kelly -0.288%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.39%30.66%30.78%30.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.103.103.2433.33%32.26%32.26%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Baltika Kaliningrad (Local): 44.09%; FK Rostov (Visit): 25.24%; Draw: 30.66%. For FC Baltika Kaliningrad (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.26, with an expected value of -0.354%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%EV -0.354%E -0.157%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 26.00%EV -4.33%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.41%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-15 10:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.65%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.39%EV -3.10%E -0.981%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 10:44
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.52%EV -5.65%E -2.64%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -2.81%E -0.730%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 12:09
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.38%E -2.93%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-15 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.