Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Baltika Kaliningrad v FC Dynamo Makhachkala

2026-11-08 17:45 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

54%

19%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Baltika Kaliningrad (Local)

Prediction 53.72%1.86fair odd

EV -1.68%

Edge -0.920%

Kelly -2.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.52%53.72%53.72%53.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.701.771.781.8358.82%56.42%56.18%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Visit)

Prediction 18.71%5.34fair odd

EV -1.19%

Edge -0.224%

Kelly -0.277%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.64%18.71%18.71%18.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.905.105.115.2820.41%19.61%19.57%18.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd

EV -1.06%

Edge -0.295%

Kelly -0.409%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.37%27.56%27.56%27.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.353.473.473.5929.85%28.82%28.82%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Baltika Kaliningrad (Local): 53.72%; FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Visit): 18.71%; Draw: 27.56%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.59, with an expected value of -1.06%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.87%EV -1.68%E -0.920%K -2.03%G +0.000%	5.28I 18.94%NM 18.67%EV -1.19%E -0.224%K -0.277%G +0.000%	3.59I 27.86%NM 27.46%EV -1.06%E -0.295%K -0.409%G +0.000%	1.4%	2026-11-01 21:10
Marathon Bet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.93%EV -4.37%E -2.45%K -5.60%G +0.000%	5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -3.62%E -0.703%K -0.872%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-01 21:05
Pinnacle🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.37%E -2.45%K -5.60%G +0.000%	5.07I 19.72%NM 18.79%EV -5.12%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%	3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 21:15
Bovada🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-11-01 21:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.