Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Akron Tolyatti v Zenit St Petersburg

Kickoff: 2026-07-25 13:15 UTC

Final: FC Akron Tolyatti 0–5 Zenit St Petersburg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Akron Tolyatti (Local)

Prediction 12.44%8.04fair odd
EV +7.49%
Edge +0.867%
Kelly +0.981%
Growth +0.073%

assuming max odds 8.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.22%12.44%12.44%12.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.407.967.908.6413.51%12.56%12.66%11.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zenit St Petersburg (Visit)

Prediction 68.25%1.47fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -11.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.00%68.25%68.25%69.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.99%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.31%5.18fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.373%
Kelly -0.464%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.07%19.31%19.31%19.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.804.924.895.0820.83%20.34%20.43%19.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet8.64I 11.57%NM 11.22%EV +7.49%E +0.867%K +0.981%G +0.073%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.71%EV -5.14%E -3.70%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 19.07%EV -1.89%E -0.373%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 13:05
Bovada8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -0.469%E -0.059%K -0.067%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.91%E -7.51%K -30.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -7.30%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 13:08
Pinnacle7.80I 12.82%NM 12.29%EV -2.96%E -0.379%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.49%EV -4.46%E -3.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.22%EV -3.63%E -0.728%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 13:05
BetOnline.ag7.40I 13.51%NM 12.59%EV -7.93%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.00%EV -6.50%E -4.75%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -7.30%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 13:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.