The School of Odds

FC Akron Tolyatti v Zenit St Petersburg

2026-07-25 13:15 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Akron Tolyatti (Local)

Prediction 12.40%8.06fair odd
EV +2.94%
Edge +0.355%
Kelly +0.403%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 8.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.87%12.40%12.40%12.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
7.627.897.758.3013%13%13%12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Zenit St Petersburg (Visit)

Prediction 69.49%1.44fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -4.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.49%69.49%69.49%69.98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4176%73%74%71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 18.11%5.52fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.277%
Kelly -0.340%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.11%18.11%18.11%18.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.005.225.225.4420%19%19%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet8.30I 12.05%NM 11.89%EV +2.94%E +0.355%K +0.403%G +0.012%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.98%EV -2.02%E -1.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 18.14%EV -1.51%E -0.277%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-10 17:59
Bovada7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -3.88%E -0.500%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -8.27%E -6.27%K -25.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -9.47%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 17:59
Pinnacle7.62I 13.12%NM 12.40%EV -5.49%E -0.721%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.49%EV -5.49%E -4.04%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.11%EV -5.49%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.