Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Akron Tolyatti v Kryliya Sovetov

2026-08-23 10:00 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

33%

39%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Akron Tolyatti (Local)

Prediction 32.87%3.04fair odd

EV -2.05%

Edge -0.688%

Kelly -1.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.87%32.87%32.87%33.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.802.892.902.9835.71%34.56%34.48%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kryliya Sovetov (Visit)

Prediction 38.59%2.59fair odd

EV -1.59%

Edge -0.624%

Kelly -1.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.53%38.59%38.59%38.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.402.472.472.5541.67%40.43%40.49%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.54%3.50fair odd

EV -1.25%

Edge -0.363%

Kelly -0.510%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.43%28.54%28.54%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.253.353.343.4630.77%29.85%29.94%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Akron Tolyatti (Local): 32.87%; Kryliya Sovetov (Visit): 38.59%; Draw: 28.54%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.46, with an expected value of -1.25%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.98I 33.56%NM 33.00%EV -2.05%E -0.688%K -1.04%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.57%EV -1.59%E -0.624%K -1.03%G +0.000%	3.46I 28.90%NM 28.43%EV -1.25%E -0.363%K -0.510%G +0.000%	1.7%	2026-08-16 19:04
Pinnacle🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.59%EV -4.68%E -1.89%K -3.18%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 28.54%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-16 19:00
Bovada🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.97%E -2.84%K -4.43%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.38%E -3.08%K -5.27%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-16 19:03

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.