Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Akron Tolyatti v FC Akhmat Grozny

2026-09-17 15:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

30%

44%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Akron Tolyatti (Local)

Prediction 29.52%3.39fair odd

EV -0.501%

Edge -0.149%

Kelly -0.211%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.02%29.52%29.68%29.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.103.193.153.3732.26%31.39%31.75%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit)

Prediction 43.70%2.29fair odd

EV -1.23%

Edge -0.543%

Kelly -0.974%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.88%43.70%43.71%44.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.022.142.162.2649.50%46.64%46.30%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.77%3.74fair odd

EV -2.82%

Edge -0.778%

Kelly -1.07%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.46%26.77%26.61%27.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.403.483.403.6329.41%28.72%29.41%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Akron Tolyatti (Local): 29.52%; FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit): 43.70%; Draw: 26.77%. For FC Akron Tolyatti (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.37, with an expected value of -0.501%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	3.37I 29.67%NM 29.24%EV -0.501%E -0.149%K -0.211%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61%EV -1.23%E -0.543%K -0.974%G +0.000%	3.63I 27.55%NM 27.15%EV -2.82%E -0.778%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.5%	2026-09-13 17:20
Pinnacle🎯	3.21I 31.15%NM 29.68%EV -5.22%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.71%EV -4.72%E -2.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%	3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 17:45
Bovada🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.22%E -3.91%K -7.47%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-13 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 42.88%EV -5.60%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-13 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -11.72%E -5.80%K -11.49%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-09-13 17:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.