Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Akhmat Grozny v Rodina Moscow

2026-11-07 13:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

57%

20%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Akhmat Grozny (Local)

Prediction 57.01%1.75fair odd

EV -2.52%

Edge -1.47%

Kelly -3.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.47%57.01%57.01%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.601.671.671.7162.50%60.06%59.70%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rodina Moscow (Visit)

Prediction 19.65%5.09fair odd

EV +1.79%

Edge +0.345%

Kelly +0.427%

Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 5.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.01%19.65%19.65%20.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.684.934.925.1821.37%20.29%20.30%19.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.34%4.28fair odd

EV -1.72%

Edge -0.408%

Kelly -0.535%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.25%23.34%23.34%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.954.084.094.2125.32%24.48%24.45%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Akhmat Grozny (Local): 57.01%; Rodina Moscow (Visit): 19.65%; Draw: 23.34%. For Rodina Moscow (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.18, producing a positive expected value of +1.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.59%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%	5.18I 19.31%NM 19.01%EV +1.79%E +0.345%K +0.427%G +0.008%	4.21I 23.75%NM 23.39%EV -1.72%E -0.408%K -0.535%G +0.000%	1.5%	2026-10-31 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.54%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.05I 19.80%NM 19.03%EV -0.768%E -0.152%K -0.190%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -4.29%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-31 18:45
Bovada🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.79%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-10-31 18:51
Pinnacle🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.47%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%	4.68I 21.37%NM 20.27%EV -8.04%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%	4.08I 24.51%NM 23.25%EV -4.75%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 18:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.