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FC Akhmat Grozny v FC Nizhny Novgorod
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Akhmat Grozny (Local)
assuming max odds 1.91
FC Nizhny Novgorod (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.35
Draw
assuming max odds 3.71
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Akhmat Grozny (Local): 50.89%; FC Nizhny Novgorod (Visit): 22.82%; Draw: 26.29%. For FC Nizhny Novgorod (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.35, with an expected value of -0.734%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.80%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.05%EV -3.93%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.15%EV -2.46%E -0.664%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.64%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -0.734%E -0.169%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.17%EV -2.99%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -4.84%E -2.59%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -7.38%E -4.06%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.86%E -2.50%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.98%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 16:23 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.