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Dinamo Moscow v Rodina Moscow

2026-08-23 12:15 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dinamo Moscow (Local)

Prediction 68.80%1.45fair odd
EV -0.928%
Edge -0.644%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.26%68.80%68.57%69.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.381.361.4474.63%72.67%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rodina Moscow (Visit)

Prediction 12.94%7.73fair odd
EV +0.170%
Edge +0.022%
Kelly +0.025%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.23%12.94%13.15%13.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.807.277.307.7414.71%13.76%13.70%12.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.26%5.48fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.329%
Kelly -0.404%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.20%18.26%18.28%18.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.175.205.3820.00%19.36%19.23%18.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dinamo Moscow (Local): 68.80%; Rodina Moscow (Visit): 12.94%; Draw: 18.26%. For Rodina Moscow (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.73. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.74, producing a positive expected value of +0.170%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.58%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.74I 12.92%NM 12.23%EV +0.170%E +0.022%K +0.025%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -5.06%E -0.973%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 12:55
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 68.50%EV -0.928%E -0.644%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.49I 13.35%NM 13.17%EV -3.07%E -0.409%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.33%EV -1.77%E -0.329%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-17 12:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.57%EV -3.68%E -2.63%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.15%EV -5.52%E -0.757%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -4.15%E -0.790%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 12:50
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -7.81%E -5.83%K -22.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -9.41%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.71%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -7.81%E -5.83%K -22.96%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.45%EV -12.00%E -1.76%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -8.71%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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