Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dinamo Moscow v Kryliya Sovetov

Kickoff: 2026-07-25 11:00 UTC

Final: Dinamo Moscow 0–0 Kryliya Sovetov

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dinamo Moscow (Local)

Prediction 65.87%1.52fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -5.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.32%65.87%66.01%66.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.451.4872.46%69.64%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kryliya Sovetov (Visit)

Prediction 14.32%6.98fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.233%
Kelly +0.271%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 7.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.65%14.32%14.35%14.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.406.726.757.1015.63%14.87%14.81%14.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.82%5.05fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.304%
Kelly -0.381%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.49%19.82%19.64%20.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.704.834.804.9721.28%20.72%20.83%20.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.85%EV -4.49%E -3.10%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.65%EV +1.66%E +0.233%K +0.271%G +0.004%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.50%EV -1.51%E -0.304%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 10:49
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.38%EV -4.49%E -3.10%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.87I 14.56%NM 14.01%EV -1.64%E -0.238%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.60%EV -2.70%E -0.550%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 10:45
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.32%EV -2.52%E -1.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.32%EV -3.36%E -0.497%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.35%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 10:50
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -9.11%E -6.60%K -23.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 10:49
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -6.47%E -4.56%K -15.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -8.37%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 10:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.