The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Dinamo Moscow v FC Dynamo Makhachkala

2026-08-09 11:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dinamo Moscow (Local)

Prediction 56.94%1.76fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.862%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.57%56.94%56.94%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.671.7361.73%59.70%59.70%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Visit)

Prediction 17.45%5.73fair odd
EV -0.860%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.184%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.31%17.45%17.45%17.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.455.465.6819.23%18.34%18.30%17.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.60%3.91fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -0.871%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.38%25.60%25.60%25.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.703.733.8128.17%27.01%26.85%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dinamo Moscow (Local): 56.94%; FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Visit): 17.45%; Draw: 25.60%. For FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.73. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.68, with an expected value of -0.860%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%EV -1.49%E -0.862%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 17.32%EV -0.860%E -0.151%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.82%EV -2.45%E -0.642%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-02 12:05
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.86%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.31%EV -3.13%E -0.564%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.83%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 12:05
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 57.03%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.60%EV -6.10%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.38%EV -4.50%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:45
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -9.24%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 12:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.