The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dinamo Moscow v FC Akhmat Grozny

2026-10-31 14:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dinamo Moscow (Local)

Prediction 61.76%1.62fair odd
EV -0.573%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.940%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.01%61.76%61.76%62.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.551.541.6166.23%64.41%64.72%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit)

Prediction 16.61%6.02fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -0.617%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.22%16.61%16.61%17.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.675.725.8418.52%17.64%17.48%17.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.63%4.62fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.540%
Kelly -0.694%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.44%21.63%21.63%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.384.414.5123.81%22.82%22.68%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dinamo Moscow (Local): 61.76%; FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit): 16.61%; Draw: 21.63%. For Dinamo Moscow (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.61, with an expected value of -0.573%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.16%EV -0.573%E -0.356%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 17.01%EV -3.82%E -0.659%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.83%EV -2.44%E -0.540%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-24 15:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.17%EV -3.04%E -1.94%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.00%EV -6.14%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -4.82%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.34%EV -6.13%E -4.03%K -11.79%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.22%EV -2.99%E -0.512%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.44%EV -4.38%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 15:50
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -10.30%E -1.91%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.14%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.