The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Dinamo Moscow v FC Akhmat Grozny

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 14:30 UTC

Final: Dinamo Moscow 2–0 FC Akhmat Grozny

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dinamo Moscow (Local)

Prediction 61.78%1.62fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -7.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.01%61.75%61.78%62.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.521.5567.57%65.60%65.79%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit)

Prediction 16.28%6.14fair odd
EV +0.937%
Edge +0.151%
Kelly +0.180%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.61%16.31%16.28%17.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.835.806.2018.52%17.14%17.24%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.94%4.56fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.532%
Kelly -0.686%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.59%21.94%21.94%22.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.304.204.4523.81%23.27%23.81%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dinamo Moscow (Local): 61.78%; FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit): 16.28%; Draw: 21.94%. For FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.937%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.44%EV -4.24%E -2.74%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.61%EV +0.937%E +0.151%K +0.180%G +0.002%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.95%EV -3.25%E -0.736%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-31 14:20
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.86%E -3.15%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 15.92%EV -1.83%E -0.304%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.72%EV -3.03%E -0.685%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.99%EV -4.24%E -2.74%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.42%EV -4.76%E -0.814%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.59%EV -2.37%E -0.532%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-29 06:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -5.58%E -0.961%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 14:15
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -5.58%E -0.961%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 14:15
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -6.39%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -12.09%E -2.24%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.