Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dinamo Moscow v CSKA Moscow

2026-10-18 13:15 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

42%

31%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dinamo Moscow (Local)

Prediction 42.35%2.36fair odd

EV +0.783%

Edge +0.329%

Kelly +0.567%

Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.39%42.35%42.35%43.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.272.262.3845.45%43.96%44.25%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSKA Moscow (Visit)

Prediction 31.38%3.19fair odd

EV -2.10%

Edge -0.673%

Kelly -0.991%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.53%31.38%31.38%32.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.853.003.023.1235.09%33.31%33.11%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.28%3.81fair odd

EV -1.99%

Edge -0.534%

Kelly -0.729%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.17%26.28%26.28%26.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.503.633.643.7328.57%27.57%27.47%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dinamo Moscow (Local): 42.35%; CSKA Moscow (Visit): 31.38%; Draw: 26.28%. For Dinamo Moscow (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.38, producing a positive expected value of +0.783%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.39%EV +0.783%E +0.329%K +0.567%G +0.004%	3.06I 32.68%NM 32.19%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%	3.73I 26.81%NM 26.41%EV -1.99%E -0.534%K -0.729%G +0.000%	1.5%	2026-10-15 12:44
Marathon Bet🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.39%EV -1.76%E -0.758%K -1.33%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 32.23%EV -6.49%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%	3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-15 12:40
Pinnacle🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.84%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%	3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%EV -2.10%E -0.673%K -0.991%G +0.000%	3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -4.36%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-15 12:50
Bovada🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.84%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-10-15 12:47

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.