The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

CSKA Moscow v Rubin Kazan

2026-09-12 17:45 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSKA Moscow (Local)

Prediction 56.77%1.76fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -4.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.52%56.71%56.77%57.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.7162.50%60.67%60.79%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rubin Kazan (Visit)

Prediction 18.49%5.41fair odd
EV +2.23%
Edge +0.403%
Kelly +0.492%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 5.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.65%18.45%18.49%19.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.175.295.5321.28%19.35%18.92%18.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.74%4.04fair odd
EV -0.776%
Edge -0.193%
Kelly -0.258%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.55%24.84%24.74%25.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.803.804.0128.17%26.33%26.28%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: CSKA Moscow (Local): 56.77%; Rubin Kazan (Visit): 18.49%; Draw: 24.74%. For Rubin Kazan (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.41. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.53, producing a positive expected value of +2.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.62%EV -2.92%E -1.71%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.82%EV +2.23%E +0.403%K +0.492%G +0.011%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.57%EV -0.776%E -0.193%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-07 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.63%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.82%EV -0.176%E -0.033%K -0.040%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.55%EV -3.00%E -0.766%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 19:24
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.79%EV -6.90%E -4.21%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.65%EV -0.730%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.56%EV -4.49%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 17:55
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.66%EV -9.17%E -5.73%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -3.87%E -0.745%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -6.33%E -3.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -11.27%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -13.12%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -12.16%E -3.42%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-07 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.