Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSKA Moscow v FK Rostov

2026-08-08 17:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

57%

18%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSKA Moscow (Local)

Prediction 57.23%1.75fair odd

EV -2.72%

Edge -1.60%

Kelly -3.88%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.56%57.23%57.23%57.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.661.681.681.7060.24%59.52%59.52%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FK Rostov (Visit)

Prediction 18.14%5.51fair odd

EV +2.15%

Edge +0.383%

Kelly +0.465%

Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 5.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

17.47%18.14%18.14%18.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.055.395.505.6319.80%18.54%18.18%17.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.63%4.06fair odd

EV -1.48%

Edge -0.371%

Kelly -0.494%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.61%24.63%24.63%24.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.863.923.904.0025.91%25.51%25.64%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: CSKA Moscow (Local): 57.23%; FK Rostov (Visit): 18.14%; Draw: 24.63%. For FK Rostov (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.51. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.63, producing a positive expected value of +2.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.91%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%	5.63I 17.76%NM 17.48%EV +2.15%E +0.383%K +0.465%G +0.010%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -1.48%E -0.371%K -0.494%G +0.000%	1.6%	2026-08-01 20:05
Marathon Bet	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.47%EV -0.205%E -0.037%K -0.046%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -3.95%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-01 20:04
Pinnacle	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%	5.05I 19.80%NM 18.82%EV -8.37%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%	3.86I 25.91%NM 24.62%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-01 20:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.