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Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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CSKA Moscow v FC Akhmat Grozny

2026-11-21 16:45 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSKA Moscow (Local)

Prediction 54.64%1.83fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.34%54.64%54.64%54.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.741.751.7959.52%57.39%57.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit)

Prediction 21.66%4.62fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.320%
Kelly -0.410%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.61%21.66%21.66%21.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.394.424.5523.81%22.75%22.65%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.70%4.22fair odd
EV -0.453%
Edge -0.108%
Kelly -0.142%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%23.70%23.70%23.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.044.044.2025.64%24.74%24.78%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: CSKA Moscow (Local): 54.64%; FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit): 21.66%; Draw: 23.70%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -0.453%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.96%EV -2.19%E -1.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.62%EV -1.45%E -0.320%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%EV -0.453%E -0.108%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.7%2026-11-09 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.94%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.61%EV -3.62%E -0.814%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.45%EV -2.82%E -0.689%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-09 12:05
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.34%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.71%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.95%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-09 13:10
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -8.20%E -4.88%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.56%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-09 12:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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