Language:English
Vitória SC v Tondela
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vitória SC (Local)
assuming max odds 1.83
Tondela (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.71
Draw
assuming max odds 3.69
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vitória SC (Local): 52.71%; Tondela (Visit): 20.58%; Draw: 26.71%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.69, with an expected value of -1.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.00%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.72%EV -3.71%E -0.792%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.28%EV -1.44%E -0.390%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-24 09:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29%EV -6.17%E -3.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.14%EV -3.09%E -0.656%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.57%EV -4.64%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.17%E -3.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.44%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 06:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.17%E -3.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.44%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 06:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -6.70%E -3.78%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -10.91%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -7.22%E -4.10%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.41%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-24 09:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -7.75%E -4.43%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.41%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 09:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -7.75%E -4.43%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.41%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 09:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.11%EV -9.86%E -5.77%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -7.41%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-24 09:33 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.39%E -6.11%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -13.58%E -3.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-24 09:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -11.97%E -7.17%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -10.91%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -17.20%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-24 09:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.77%EV -13.55%E -8.26%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.60%EV -13.58%E -3.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.63%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-24 09:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.