The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Vitória SC v CS Maritimo

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 19:45 UTC

Final: Vitória SC 5–0 CS Maritimo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vitória SC (Local)

Prediction 62.32%1.60fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.972%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.89%62.30%62.26%64.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.511.501.5871.43%66.29%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CS Maritimo (Visit)

Prediction 15.00%6.67fair odd
EV +0.651%
Edge +0.097%
Kelly +0.114%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.07%15.02%14.89%16.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.086.006.7117.86%16.45%16.67%14.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.68%4.41fair odd
EV -0.205%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.060%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.23%22.68%22.86%25.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.994.004.4028.17%25.09%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vitória SC (Local): 62.32%; CS Maritimo (Visit): 15.00%; Draw: 22.68%. For CS Maritimo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.651%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.77%EV -5.90%E -3.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.35%EV +0.651%E +0.097%K +0.114%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -0.205%E -0.047%K -0.060%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -2.50%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.50%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -2.50%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-23 14:07
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.50%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 14:44
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.50%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 14:06
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.50%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -0.205%E -0.047%K -0.060%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 15:54
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -2.50%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 14:06
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -2.50%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 15:50
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -2.50%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 15:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.20%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.87%EV -4.00%E -0.625%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -5.88%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.20%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.87%EV -4.00%E -0.625%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -5.88%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 10:50
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV -5.50%E -0.873%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -5.88%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 15:17
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.49%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -5.50%E -0.873%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -8.14%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.49%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -5.50%E -0.873%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -8.14%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.96%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -6.25%E -1.000%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 14:08
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.93%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.25%E -1.000%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -3.61%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 15:17
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -6.25%E -1.000%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-23 14:07
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -6.25%E -1.000%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 15:50
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.28%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.25%EV -7.15%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.48%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 15:06
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.45%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.13%EV -7.75%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -5.88%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 15:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -10.26%E -7.13%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -8.50%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-23 15:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-23 14:08
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -1.54%E -0.972%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -14.95%E -3.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -1.54%E -0.972%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -14.95%E -3.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 13:46
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -5.90%E -3.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 14:07
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -14.95%E -3.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 13:46
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -14.95%E -3.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 13:45
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -14.95%E -3.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -14.95%E -3.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 13:46
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -14.95%E -3.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 13:45
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -14.95%E -3.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 13:45
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 14:26
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -1.79%E -0.414%K -0.538%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -5.90%E -3.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 14:08
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-23 15:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-23 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-23 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-23 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-23 14:07
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.00%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-23 14:08
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -13.00%E -2.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-23 12:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -13.00%E -2.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-23 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.81%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.24%EV -13.00%E -2.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.96%EV -12.68%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-23 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.13%EV -13.00%E -2.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -10.41%E -2.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-23 15:55
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.98%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -13.75%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -18.35%E -5.10%K -7.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-23 13:46
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.98%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -13.75%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -18.35%E -5.10%K -7.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-23 13:46
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.35%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -14.50%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.89%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -16.00%E -2.86%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -18.35%E -5.10%K -7.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-23 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.89%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -16.00%E -2.86%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -18.35%E -5.10%K -7.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-23 13:46
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.89%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -16.00%E -2.86%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -18.35%E -5.10%K -7.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-23 13:46
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -16.00%E -2.86%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-23 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.00%EV -5.90%E -3.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -16.00%E -2.86%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -19.48%E -5.49%K -7.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-23 13:46
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.16%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -16.00%E -2.86%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -19.48%E -5.49%K -7.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-23 13:46
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-10-23 15:12
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-10-23 15:59
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-10-23 15:06