Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vitória SC v Casa Pia

Início: 2026-09-06 17:02 UTC

Final: Vitória SC 0–0 Casa Pia

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vitória SC (Local)

Previsão 64.23%1.56odd justa
EV -3.66%
Vantagem -2.44%
Kelly -7.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.32%64.06%64.25%65.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.461.451.5072.46%68.61%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Casa Pia (Visitante)

Previsão 13.25%7.55odd justa
EV +1.60%
Vantagem +0.208%
Kelly +0.239%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.33%13.33%13.29%14.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.006.756.757.6716.67%14.81%14.81%13.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.53%4.44odd justa
EV -0.878%
Vantagem -0.200%
Kelly -0.258%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.23%22.61%22.47%24.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.044.004.4026.67%24.74%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Vitória SC (Local): 64.23%; Casa Pia (Visitante): 13.25%; Empate: 22.53%. Para Casa Pia (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.55. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.67, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.60%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.99%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.67I 13.04%NM 12.54%EV +1.60%E +0.208%K +0.239%G +0.004%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.47%EV -3.58%E -0.837%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 16:59
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.70%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.77%EV -0.656%E -0.088%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53%EV -4.26%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -0.656%E -0.088%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:51
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -0.656%E -0.088%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -0.656%E -0.088%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.76%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.77%EV -3.31%E -0.453%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -6.51%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 16:59
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.61%EV -3.31%E -0.453%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -13.27%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 16:20
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.61%EV -3.31%E -0.453%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -13.27%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 16:15
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.21%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.93%EV -3.97%E -0.547%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.79%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV -4.63%E -0.643%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -0.878%E -0.200%K -0.258%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 17:00
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.35%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.48%EV -6.62%E -0.939%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 12:29
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -3.13%E -0.728%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 12:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -2.46%E -0.567%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 16:51
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -3.13%E -0.728%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:00
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:19
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -13.27%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 17:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 16:59
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 16:59
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.28%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -10.59%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.57%EV -9.44%E -6.70%K -23.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -10.59%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.94%EV -6.51%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 16:57
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV -10.59%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.70%EV -11.37%E -8.24%K -29.91%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.53%EV -12.58%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 16:59
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 05:10
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:30
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 12:29
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 12:29
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 12:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 12:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 12:30
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 21:20
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -15.52%E -4.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.07%EV -9.44%E -6.70%K -23.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -17.21%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.38%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 16:59
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.13%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -19.20%E -3.15%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.13%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -19.20%E -3.15%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.13%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -19.20%E -3.15%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.13%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -19.20%E -3.15%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.13%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -19.20%E -3.15%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.13%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -19.20%E -3.15%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.14%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.79%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -20.53%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -13.27%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.79%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -20.53%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -13.27%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.96%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -20.53%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17%EV -13.27%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 16:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.99%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%0.4%2026-09-06 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.99%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%0.4%2026-09-06 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.99%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%0.4%2026-09-06 17:00
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.79%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-09-06 17:00
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%0.8%2026-09-06 17:00
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.69%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.54%2.0%2026-09-06 15:55