赔率学院语言:简体中文
Tondela v Nacional
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Tondela (主队)
预测 34.44%2.90公平赔率
EV -3.57%
优势 -1.27%
Kelly -1.98%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.80
博彩公司预测分布
33.38%34.44%34.44%35.19%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.632.752.752.8038.02%36.34%36.36%35.71%MIN均值中位数MAX
Nacional (客队)
预测 37.19%2.69公平赔率
EV -7.03%
优势 -2.81%
Kelly -4.69%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.50
博彩公司预测分布
37.02%37.19%37.19%37.64%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.402.472.482.5041.67%40.42%40.32%40.00%MIN均值中位数MAX
平局
预测 28.37%3.52公平赔率
EV -5.52%
优势 -1.66%
Kelly -2.37%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.33
博彩公司预测分布
27.79%28.37%28.37%29.07%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.213.203.3332.26%31.12%31.25%30.03%MIN均值中位数MAX
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.77%E -3.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.77%E -3.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.77%E -3.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.77%E -3.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.77%E -3.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.89%E -3.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.89%E -3.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -9.63%E -3.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.63%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -9.63%E -3.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.63%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.75%E -4.48%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.19%EV -9.42%E -3.58%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.79%EV -5.52%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 14:51 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。