La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Sporting Lisbon v Tondela
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Sporting Lisbon (Casa)
Previsione 82.21%1.22quota equa
EV -5.45%
Vantaggio -4.74%
Kelly -36.36%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
80.83%82.88%82.27%90.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.041.111.131.1596.15%90.17%88.50%86.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Tondela (Trasferta)
Previsione 4.93%20.29quota equa
EV +274.50%
Vantaggio +3.61%
Kelly +3.66%
Crescita +10.05%
ipotizzando la quota massima 76.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
1.27%4.61%4.75%6.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
15.0031.9421.0076.006.67%3.13%4.76%1.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 12.86%7.78quota equa
EV +67.16%
Vantaggio +5.17%
Kelly +5.60%
Crescita +3.76%
ipotizzando la quota massima 13.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.27%12.51%12.99%14.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.408.467.5013.0015.63%11.82%13.33%7.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (20 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.72%EV -12.85%E -12.13%K -214.22%G +0.000% | 76.00I 1.32%NM 1.27%EV +274.50%E +3.61%K +3.66%G +10.05% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.01%EV +54.30%E +4.52%K +4.94%G +2.68% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.07%EV -13.68%E -13.02%K -273.50%G +0.000% | 71.00I 1.41%NM 1.33%EV +249.86%E +3.52%K +3.57%G +8.92% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +41.44%E +3.77%K +4.14%G +1.72% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.51%EV -13.68%E -13.02%K -273.50%G +0.000% | 61.00I 1.64%NM 1.54%EV +200.59%E +3.29%K +3.34%G +6.71% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +35.01%E +3.33%K +3.69%G +1.29% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.05%EV -14.50%E -13.94%K -362.43%G +0.000% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.68%EV +171.02%E +3.11%K +3.17%G +5.42% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +28.58%E +2.86%K +3.18%G +0.908% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.88%EV -14.50%E -13.94%K -362.43%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.85%EV +151.31%E +2.97%K +3.03%G +4.58% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +67.16%E +5.17%K +5.60%G +3.76% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.75%EV -12.85%E -12.13%K -214.22%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +151.31%E +2.97%K +3.03%G +4.58% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +28.58%E +2.86%K +3.18%G +0.908% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 16:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.47%EV -9.56%E -8.69%K -95.64%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +13.34%E +0.580%K +0.606%G +0.081% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +15.72%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.309% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 17:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.48%EV -5.45%E -4.74%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.42%EV +8.41%E +0.382%K +0.400%G +0.034% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 11.10%EV +12.51%E +1.43%K +1.61%G +0.202% | 2.9% | 2026-03-09 15:39 |
| William Hill | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.45%E -4.74%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +3.48%E +0.166%K +0.174%G +0.006% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -9.99%E -1.43%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 18:15 |
| 888sport | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.83%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +3.48%E +0.166%K +0.174%G +0.006% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -9.99%E -1.43%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.83%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +3.48%E +0.166%K +0.174%G +0.006% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -9.99%E -1.43%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.83%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +3.48%E +0.166%K +0.174%G +0.006% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -9.99%E -1.43%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 18:39 |
| BetUS | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.92%E -7.07%K -66.00%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +3.48%E +0.166%K +0.174%G +0.006% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -9.99%E -1.43%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 17:22 |
| NordicBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.83%EV -5.45%E -4.74%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV -1.45%E -0.072%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -17.71%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 12:14 |
| Betsson | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.83%EV -5.45%E -4.74%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV -1.45%E -0.072%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -17.71%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 12:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.08%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.83%G +0.000% | 19.75I 5.06%NM 4.74%EV -2.68%E -0.136%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.18%EV -8.71%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 08:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -8.74%E -7.88%K -79.47%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -16.23%E -0.955%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -3.56%E -0.475%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 00:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.71%EV -8.74%E -7.88%K -79.47%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -16.23%E -0.955%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -9.99%E -1.43%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-12 09:23 |
| Everygame | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.83%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -26.09%E -1.74%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +2.86%E +0.358%K +0.409%G +0.012% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Betway | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.83%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -26.09%E -1.74%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.56%E -0.475%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 09:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19% | 186.7% | 2026-03-10 18:02 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19% | 186.7% | 2026-03-10 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42% | 187.7% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |