语言:简体中文
Sporting Lisbon v Nacional
胜负盘
Sporting Lisbon (主队)
预测 78.12%1.28公平赔率
EV -7.04%
优势 -5.91%
Kelly -37.04%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.19
博彩公司预测分布
75.76%78.12%78.12%78.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.131.171.161.1988.50%85.74%86.21%84.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
Nacional (客队)
预测 7.14%14.01公平赔率
EV -0.037%
优势 -0.003%
Kelly -0.003%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 14.00
博彩公司预测分布
6.70%7.14%7.14%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.5012.8913.0014.0010.53%7.76%7.69%7.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 14.74%6.78公平赔率
EV -4.18%
优势 -0.644%
Kelly -0.761%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
14.44%14.74%14.74%15.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.706.206.106.5017.54%16.14%16.39%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Sporting Lisbon (主队)：78.12%；Nacional (客队)：7.14%；平局：14.74%。 对于“Nacional (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为14.01。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为14.00，期望值为-0.037%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -7.04%E -5.91%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -0.037%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.18%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 19:21 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -7.04%E -5.91%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -0.037%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.18%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -7.04%E -5.91%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -0.037%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.18%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -7.04%E -5.91%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -0.037%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.18%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -7.04%E -5.91%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -0.037%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.18%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -7.04%E -5.91%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -0.037%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.18%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -8.60%E -7.35%K -50.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -7.18%E -0.552%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -10.08%E -1.65%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -8.60%E -7.35%K -50.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -7.18%E -0.552%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -10.08%E -1.65%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 19:26 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -8.60%E -7.35%K -50.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -7.18%E -0.552%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -10.08%E -1.65%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.22%EV -9.38%E -8.09%K -58.64%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.26%EV -10.75%E -0.860%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -7.87%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.16%EV -9.38%E -8.09%K -58.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -7.18%E -0.552%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -10.08%E -1.65%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.16%EV -9.38%E -8.09%K -58.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -7.18%E -0.552%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -10.08%E -1.65%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.16%EV -9.38%E -8.09%K -58.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -7.18%E -0.552%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -10.08%E -1.65%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.31%EV -10.16%E -8.84%K -67.75%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%EV -7.18%E -0.552%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -10.08%E -1.65%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.31%EV -10.16%E -8.84%K -67.75%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%EV -7.18%E -0.552%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -10.08%E -1.65%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.31%EV -10.16%E -8.84%K -67.75%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%EV -7.18%E -0.552%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -10.08%E -1.65%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.53%EV -10.16%E -8.84%K -67.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -28.60%E -2.86%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -11.55%E -1.93%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 75.76%EV -10.94%E -9.60%K -78.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.09%EV -32.17%E -3.39%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.15%EV -15.98%E -2.80%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.78%EV -11.73%E -10.38%K -90.20%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.32%EV -14.32%E -1.19%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -13.03%E -2.21%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.69% | 2.3% | 2026-08-28 20:05 |