La scuola delle quote

Santa Clara v Gil Vicente

Inizio: 2026-03-21 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Santa Clara (Casa)

Previsione 39.59%2.53quota equa
EV -1.81%
Vantaggio -0.729%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.86%39.68%39.54%40.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.232.342.342.4844.84%42.70%42.74%40.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gil Vicente (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.58%3.50quota equa
EV +0.042%
Vantaggio +0.012%
Kelly +0.017%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.84%28.53%28.58%29.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.313.303.5033.33%30.19%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.82%3.14quota equa
EV -1.35%
Vantaggio -0.435%
Kelly -0.642%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.69%31.80%31.88%33.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.912.903.1038.02%34.40%34.48%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -7.75%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV +0.042%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:39
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -7.75%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV +0.042%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:39
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:09
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:40
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:40
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:40
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:39
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:39
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:40
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:39
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:39
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:39
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%EV -3.00%E -1.22%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.97%EV -3.58%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 17:34
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.39%E -1.39%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.50%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:14
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.39%E -1.39%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.50%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:14
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 17:49
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -9.73%E -4.27%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -9.73%E -4.27%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 17:39
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 17:39
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.14%EV -1.81%E -0.729%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.72%EV -3.39%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.14%EV -3.89%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 17:50
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.04%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.19%EV -3.39%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 17:12
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.84%EV -3.67%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.38%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.25%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:00
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -11.71%E -5.25%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -4.25%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 17:39
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -1.35%E -0.435%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:54
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 16:54
Bovada2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:29
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:29
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -2.94%E -0.964%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 17:55
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:49
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:54
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.31%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.46%EV -8.67%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 17:14
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 16:54
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.08%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:49
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.08%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:49
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.07%EV -7.39%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:55
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:55
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:54
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:29
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:34
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:29
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:30
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:54
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:14
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:54
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:54
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 16:54
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 16:54
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 17:54
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 16:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 17:55
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.96%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 17:14
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.28%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -9.96%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.04%EV -10.26%E -3.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 17:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -16.30%E -6.20%K -10.00%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 17:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%0.6%2026-03-21 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%0.6%2026-03-21 17:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%0.6%2026-03-21 17:34
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%0.6%2026-03-21 17:49
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%1.4%2026-03-21 17:49
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.0%2026-03-21 17:30