La escuela de los momios

Santa Clara v Gil Vicente

Inicio: 2026-03-21 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Santa Clara (Local)

Predicción 39.59%2.53momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -0.729%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.86%39.68%39.54%40.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.342.342.4844.84%42.70%42.74%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gil Vicente (Visitante)

Predicción 28.58%3.50momio equitativo
EV +0.042%
Ventaja +0.012%
Kelly +0.017%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.84%28.53%28.58%29.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.303.5033.33%30.19%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.82%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.435%
Kelly -0.642%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.69%31.80%31.88%33.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.912.903.1038.02%34.40%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -7.75%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV +0.042%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:39
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -7.75%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV +0.042%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:39
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:09
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:40
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:40
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:40
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:39
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:39
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:40
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:39
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:39
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.39%E -0.402%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:39
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%EV -3.00%E -1.22%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.97%EV -3.58%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 17:34
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.39%E -1.39%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.50%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:14
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.39%E -1.39%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.50%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:14
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 17:49
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -9.73%E -4.27%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -9.73%E -4.27%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 17:39
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -2.82%E -0.828%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 17:39
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.14%EV -1.81%E -0.729%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.72%EV -3.39%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.14%EV -3.89%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 17:50
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.04%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.19%EV -3.39%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 17:12
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.84%EV -3.67%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.38%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.25%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:00
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -11.71%E -5.25%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -4.25%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 17:39
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -1.35%E -0.435%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:54
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 16:54
Bovada2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:29
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:29
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -2.94%E -0.964%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 17:55
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:49
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:54
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.31%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.46%EV -8.67%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 17:14
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 16:54
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.08%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:49
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.08%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:49
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.07%EV -7.39%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:55
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:55
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:54
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:29
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:34
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:29
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:30
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:54
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:14
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:54
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:54
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 16:54
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 16:54
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 17:54
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 16:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 17:55
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.96%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 17:14
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.28%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -9.96%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.04%EV -10.26%E -3.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 17:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -16.30%E -6.20%K -10.00%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 17:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%0.6%2026-03-21 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%0.6%2026-03-21 17:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%0.6%2026-03-21 17:34
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%0.6%2026-03-21 17:49
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%1.4%2026-03-21 17:49
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.0%2026-03-21 17:30