Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Santa Clara v Famalicão

Início: 2026-08-23 17:00 UTC

Final: Santa Clara 1–0 Famalicão

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Santa Clara (Local)

Previsão 33.60%2.98odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -0.887%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.16%33.69%33.62%36.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.712.752.9040.00%36.84%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Famalicão (Visitante)

Previsão 34.81%2.87odd justa
EV +0.252%
Vantagem +0.088%
Kelly +0.134%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.73%34.72%34.78%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.702.702.8840.82%37.09%37.04%34.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.59%3.17odd justa
EV -2.06%
Vantagem -0.664%
Kelly -0.980%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.12%31.59%31.60%33.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.952.923.1035.71%33.87%34.25%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Santa Clara (Local): 33.60%; Famalicão (Visitante): 34.81%; Empate: 31.59%. Para Famalicão (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.87. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.88, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.252%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%EV -11.64%E -4.43%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV +0.252%E +0.088%K +0.134%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -3.64%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 16:34
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%EV -11.64%E -4.43%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV +0.252%E +0.088%K +0.134%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -3.64%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 16:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%EV -11.64%E -4.43%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV +0.252%E +0.088%K +0.134%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -3.64%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 16:34
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%EV -11.64%E -4.43%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV +0.252%E +0.088%K +0.134%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -3.64%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%EV -11.64%E -4.43%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV +0.252%E +0.088%K +0.134%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -3.64%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 16:34
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%EV -11.64%E -4.43%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV +0.252%E +0.088%K +0.134%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -3.64%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 16:34
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.25%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.051%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.68%EV -7.74%E -2.65%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 09:40
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.39%EV -2.57%E -0.887%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.08%EV -3.92%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV -3.00%E -0.979%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 16:44
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.25%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 16:49
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -4.25%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 16:38
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.22%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -16.01%E -6.40%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 16:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -16.01%E -6.40%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 16:34
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -16.01%E -6.40%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 16:34
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -16.01%E -6.40%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.01%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 16:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -16.01%E -6.40%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.01%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 16:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -16.01%E -6.40%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.01%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 16:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.22%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.68%EV -4.62%E -1.69%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.10%EV -6.48%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.22%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.68%EV -4.62%E -1.69%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.10%EV -6.48%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 16:50
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.44%EV -4.97%E -1.82%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.98%EV -7.11%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 16:34
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -4.25%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.22%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 16:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -2.06%E -0.664%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:48
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -2.57%E -0.887%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -11.54%E -4.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -9.01%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 16:40
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -9.96%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 16:20
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 16:34
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -16.01%E -6.40%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.01%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -16.01%E -6.40%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.01%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 16:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -16.01%E -6.40%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.01%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 16:34
Bovada🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.21%EV -4.92%E -1.74%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 16:48
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.42%EV -6.27%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.66%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.74%E -2.65%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -2.06%E -0.664%K -0.980%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:50
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -3.64%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 16:50
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 16:44
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.83%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.74%E -2.65%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 16:19
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.83%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.74%E -2.65%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 16:20
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -8.45%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -5.22%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -8.45%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -11.54%E -4.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 16:50
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -8.80%E -3.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -2.06%E -0.664%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 16:50
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -8.80%E -3.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -5.22%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 16:44
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -8.80%E -3.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.22%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:40
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -2.06%E -0.664%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -2.06%E -0.664%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -2.06%E -0.664%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 16:49
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -2.06%E -0.664%K -0.980%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 16:49
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.22%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 16:54
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:49
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.63%EV -10.30%E -3.86%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.84%EV -10.90%E -3.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.88%EV -6.94%E -2.51%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -11.23%E -4.41%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.38%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 16:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -10.97%E -4.14%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.00%EV -11.23%E -4.41%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -9.96%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -14.72%E -6.01%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -9.96%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 16:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-08-23 16:54
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-08-23 16:54
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69%1.0%2026-08-23 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%1.1%2026-08-23 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-08-23 16:54
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.83%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.21%1.8%2026-08-23 16:54