Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 9.50
assuming max odds 1.42
assuming max odds 5.06
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rio Ave FC (Local): 11.01%; FC Porto (Visit): 69.45%; Draw: 19.55%. For Rio Ave FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.08. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.58%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.07%EV +4.58%E +0.482%K +0.538%G +0.025% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.80%EV -4.86%E -3.55%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +4.58%E +0.482%K +0.538%G +0.025% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -8.33%E -6.31%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.37I 10.67%NM 10.27%EV +3.15%E +0.336%K +0.376%G +0.012% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.73%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.01%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.20%EV +1.82%E +0.197%K +0.221%G +0.004% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.92%EV -6.25%E -4.63%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.15%EV +1.82%E +0.197%K +0.221%G +0.004% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.08%EV -6.94%E -5.18%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.47%EV -0.927%E -0.103%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -6.94%E -5.18%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.22%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.47%EV -0.927%E -0.103%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -6.94%E -5.18%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.22%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -0.927%E -0.103%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.27%E -0.454%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -0.927%E -0.103%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -0.927%E -0.103%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.25%E -4.63%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -0.927%E -0.103%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.44%EV -6.94%E -5.18%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.51%EV -3.13%E -0.356%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.99%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -15.95%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.51%EV -3.13%E -0.356%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.99%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -15.95%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.68%EV -3.68%E -0.421%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.22%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.68%EV -3.68%E -0.421%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.22%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -6.43%E -0.757%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -4.22%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 16:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -6.43%E -0.757%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.27%E -0.454%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -6.43%E -0.757%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.27%E -0.454%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -6.43%E -0.757%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -6.43%E -0.757%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -6.43%E -0.757%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -6.43%E -0.757%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -6.43%E -0.757%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -6.43%E -0.757%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.43%E -0.757%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 12:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -6.43%E -0.757%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.08%EV -9.03%E -6.89%K -29.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 19:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -6.43%E -0.757%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -6.43%E -0.757%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -9.72%E -7.48%K -32.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.31I 12.03%NM 11.62%EV -8.52%E -1.03%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.98%EV -1.39%E -0.977%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.41%EV -7.55%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.93%EV -9.18%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.89%EV -10.41%E -8.07%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -8.13%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.78%E -1.98%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.10%EV -6.25%E -4.63%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -5.20%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -6.25%E -4.63%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.96%EV -4.16%E -3.02%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -15.95%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 09:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 09:08 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -8.33%E -6.31%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -8.33%E -6.31%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.94%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -8.33%E -6.31%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -14.69%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.41%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -17.44%E -2.33%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -2.78%E -1.98%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -17.44%E -2.33%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -20.19%E -2.79%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.78%E -1.98%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -20.19%E -2.79%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.78%E -1.98%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -20.19%E -2.79%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.47%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -22.94%E -3.28%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -8.33%E -6.31%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -8.13%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.44% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.44% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.44% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.11% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.71% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.87% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |