StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rio Ave FC v CF Estrela

Matchstart: 2026-09-14 17:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Rio Ave FC 3–3 CF Estrela

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rio Ave FC (Hemma)

Prognos 33.34%3.00rättvist odds
EV -1.66%
Fördel -0.563%
Kelly -0.851%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.31%33.31%33.39%35.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.622.782.802.9538.17%36.03%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

CF Estrela (Borta)

Prognos 37.71%2.65rättvist odds
EV -2.32%
Fördel -0.896%
Kelly -1.46%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.59

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.72%37.74%37.68%38.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.462.482.5943.48%40.73%40.32%38.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.95%3.45rättvist odds
EV -1.57%
Fördel -0.461%
Kelly -0.653%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.81%28.96%28.93%30.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.223.253.4033.33%31.08%30.82%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rio Ave FC (Hemma): 33.34%; CF Estrela (Borta): 37.71%; Oavgjort: 28.95%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.45. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.40, med väntevärdet -1.57%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.31%EV -1.66%E -0.563%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.28%EV -6.09%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 17:16
BetOnline.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.31%EV -1.66%E -0.563%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.28%EV -6.09%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 17:16
GTbets🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.66%E -0.911%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.78%EV -4.21%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.35%EV -5.33%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 16:45
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.41%EV -3.33%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.41%EV -2.32%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.18%EV -3.88%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-14 17:31
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -3.33%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -4.33%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 16:40
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:35
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 17:15
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 17:35
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:45
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:38
Bovada🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.25%EV -5.66%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.79%EV -6.09%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 17:40
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 17:05
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 17:05
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 17:05
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 17:30
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 17:40
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 16:35
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 17:39
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 17:09
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.36%EV -6.99%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.38%EV -6.09%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.27%EV -7.94%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.57%E -0.461%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:40
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:20
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 17:16
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 17:16
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 17:40
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-14 17:39
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-14 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.16%EV -9.33%E -3.43%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.27%EV -8.73%E -3.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -11.70%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 32.77%EV -9.33%E -3.43%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.75%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.48%EV -9.38%E -3.00%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 17:40
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 17:40
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.66%E -4.40%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -11.66%E -4.40%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 17:30
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -11.66%E -4.40%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -11.66%E -4.40%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -11.66%E -4.40%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -11.66%E -4.40%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -11.66%E -4.40%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 17:26
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -12.66%E -4.83%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 17:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-09-14 17:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-09-14 17:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-09-14 17:36
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-09-14 17:40
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-09-14 17:36
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-09-14 17:01