语言:简体中文
Nacional v Braga
胜负盘
Nacional (主队)
预测 14.03%7.13公平赔率
EV +1.69%
优势 +0.233%
Kelly +0.270%
增长率 +0.005%
假设最高赔率为 7.25
博彩公司预测分布
12.94%14.08%14.39%15.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.606.446.307.2517.86%15.53%15.87%13.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
Braga (客队)
预测 63.63%1.57公平赔率
EV -4.55%
优势 -3.03%
Kelly -9.10%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
61.18%63.49%63.41%64.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.451.451.5074.07%69.14%68.97%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.34%4.48公平赔率
EV -3.94%
优势 -0.916%
Kelly -1.19%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.30
博彩公司预测分布
21.74%22.43%22.19%23.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.884.064.054.3025.77%24.63%24.69%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Nacional (主队)：14.03%；Braga (客队)：63.63%；平局：22.34%。 对于“Nacional (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.13。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为7.25，由此产生+1.69%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.13%EV +1.69%E +0.233%K +0.270%G +0.005% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -6.46%E -4.39%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV +1.69%E +0.233%K +0.270%G +0.005% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.73%E -5.33%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-12 11:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -1.82%E -0.259%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -7.73%E -5.33%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-12 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -1.82%E -0.259%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -8.37%E -5.81%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-12 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -1.82%E -0.259%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.37%E -5.81%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-12 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -1.82%E -0.259%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.37%E -5.81%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-12 11:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -1.82%E -0.259%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -9.00%E -6.30%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.54%EV -10.23%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.30%EV -6.46%E -4.39%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-12 12:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -11.63%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.49%EV -5.82%E -3.93%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -9.52%E -2.35%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-12 12:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -11.63%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.49%EV -5.82%E -3.93%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -9.52%E -2.35%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-12 11:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.15%EV -12.34%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.17%EV -10.91%E -7.79%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-12 11:48 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.37%EV -14.44%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.05%EV -11.55%E -8.31%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.59%EV -13.32%E -3.43%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-12 11:27 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.12%EV -14.44%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 63.80%EV -14.09%E -10.44%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-10-12 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -15.84%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -15.84%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -15.84%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -15.84%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 12:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.17%EV -18.65%E -3.22%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.84%EV -10.91%E -7.79%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-12 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.47%EV -21.45%E -3.83%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.32%EV -11.55%E -8.31%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-12 11:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.84% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.91% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.26% | 16.2% | 2026-10-12 11:30 |