La scuola delle quote

Moreirense FC v CF Estrela

Inizio: 2026-05-02 14:30 UTC

Finale: Moreirense FC 3–2 CF Estrela

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Moreirense FC (Casa)

Previsione 31.66%3.16quota equa
EV +1.31%
Vantaggio +0.410%
Kelly +0.597%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.17%31.54%31.72%32.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.002.983.2035.71%33.36%33.56%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

CF Estrela (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.71%2.65quota equa
EV -1.21%
Vantaggio -0.462%
Kelly -0.748%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.68%37.86%37.63%41.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.182.412.452.6245.87%41.56%40.82%38.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.63%3.26quota equa
EV -1.97%
Vantaggio -0.616%
Kelly -0.896%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.33%30.60%30.65%31.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.063.103.2036.36%32.63%32.26%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV +1.31%E +0.410%K +0.597%G +0.008%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -1.97%E -0.616%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 14:10
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV +1.31%E +0.410%K +0.597%G +0.008%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -1.97%E -0.616%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 14:10
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV +1.31%E +0.410%K +0.597%G +0.008%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:10
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV +1.31%E +0.410%K +0.597%G +0.008%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:10
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV +1.31%E +0.410%K +0.597%G +0.008%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:10
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV +1.31%E +0.410%K +0.597%G +0.008%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -0.271%E -0.086%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:21
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -0.271%E -0.086%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -0.271%E -0.086%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:10
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -0.271%E -0.086%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:20
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -0.271%E -0.086%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:10
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -0.271%E -0.086%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.92%E -7.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -0.271%E -0.086%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.92%E -7.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:10
GTbets3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -1.85%E -0.598%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.29%EV -6.11%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -5.65%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -1.85%E -0.598%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -9.63%E -3.26%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 14:20
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -1.85%E -0.598%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -17.05%E -7.75%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 14:10
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -1.85%E -0.598%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -17.05%E -7.75%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 14:10
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.49%EV -2.49%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.21%E -0.462%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.49%EV -5.65%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 14:20
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%EV -3.44%E -1.13%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.43%EV -2.34%E -0.904%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.78%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 14:25
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -3.44%E -1.13%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -17.80%E -8.17%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -6.57%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 14:10
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.02%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -1.97%E -0.616%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 14:05
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -5.02%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 14:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.02%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -1.97%E -0.616%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:35
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.02%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.02%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:35
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.02%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.02%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:35
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.02%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:35
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.02%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:24
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -5.65%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -4.98%E -1.98%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 14:05
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -5.65%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -4.98%E -1.98%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 14:05
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -5.65%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -6.11%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.71%E -2.92%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 14:26
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.60%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -4.98%E -1.98%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.57%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 14:15
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.60%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -4.98%E -1.98%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.57%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.60%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.57%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:15
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -6.60%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 14:05
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.60%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 14:05
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.60%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 14:05
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.55%E -2.59%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -6.57%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 14:10
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.55%E -2.59%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -6.57%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 14:10
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.02%EV -7.55%E -2.59%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.43%EV -8.75%E -3.62%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.56%EV -12.08%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 14:25
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:15
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.57%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 14:10
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 14:10
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 14:15
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 14:16
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 14:25
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 14:25
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -8.82%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 14:15
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.82%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 14:03
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.82%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:23
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.77%E -3.43%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.69%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.48%EV -5.95%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.77%E -3.43%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 14:15
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 14:05
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -6.57%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 14:15
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -9.63%E -3.26%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -15.76%E -5.73%K -9.00%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 14:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07%0.6%2026-05-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-05-02 14:16
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-05-02 14:25
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%1.9%2026-05-02 14:21
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.02%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%3.1%2026-05-02 14:25