L’École des cotes

Moreirense FC v Braga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Moreirense FC (Local)

Prévision 14.22%7.03cote équitable
EV +8.93%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.120%

avec la cote maximale 7.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.39%14.26%14.32%16.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.476.507.6618.18%15.46%15.38%13.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Braga (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.10%1.58cote équitable
EV -0.929%
Avantage -0.592%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.87%62.91%63.07%64.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.501.5771.43%67.04%66.67%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.68%4.41cote équitable
EV -0.220%
Avantage -0.050%
Kelly -0.065%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.40%22.83%22.61%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.024.004.4027.78%24.86%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet7.66I 13.05%NM 12.66%EV +8.93%E +1.17%K +1.34%G +0.120%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.21%EV -4.72%E -3.12%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.14%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 16:50
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV +6.65%E +0.887%K +1.02%G +0.068%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -9.76%E -6.83%K -22.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:45
Pinnacle7.28I 13.74%NM 13.21%EV +3.52%E +0.484%K +0.561%G +0.020%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.57%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.22%EV -1.81%E -0.417%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 16:54
LowVig.ag7.20I 13.89%NM 13.51%EV +2.38%E +0.331%K +0.385%G +0.009%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.40%EV -4.72%E -3.12%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -0.220%E -0.050%K -0.065%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 16:15
BetOnline.ag7.20I 13.89%NM 13.51%EV +2.38%E +0.331%K +0.385%G +0.009%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.40%EV -4.72%E -3.12%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -0.220%E -0.050%K -0.065%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 16:15
Coolbet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -0.459%E -0.066%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.61%EV -4.08%E -2.69%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:14
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -0.459%E -0.066%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -2.49%E -0.578%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:54
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -0.459%E -0.066%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.76%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:18
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -0.459%E -0.066%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 16:39
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -0.459%E -0.066%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 16:01
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -0.459%E -0.066%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:55
GTbets6.93I 14.43%NM 13.87%EV -1.45%E -0.210%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.03%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.10%EV -9.52%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Betr (AU)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -4.01%E -0.595%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -5.35%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:20
Everygame6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -4.01%E -0.595%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 16:19
Marathon Bet6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -6.15%E -0.931%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.89%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:50
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.35%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.76%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:19
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.35%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.76%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.35%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.76%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:14
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.76%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:53
BetMGM6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -5.35%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 16:54
Betclic (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -7.24%E -4.92%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.76%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:43
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.35%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:10
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.35%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:10
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -1.81%E -0.417%K -0.543%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 16:39
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:54
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:50
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:50
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -7.57%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -18.36%E -5.10%K -7.06%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Neds6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -8.99%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.35%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -8.99%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.35%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:14
NordicBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -8.99%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.89%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:40
Betsson6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -8.99%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.89%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:39
BetUS6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -11.12%E -1.78%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.77%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 13:30
Grosvenor6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV -11.12%E -1.78%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%EV -2.82%E -1.83%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:39
Casumo6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV -11.12%E -1.78%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%EV -2.82%E -1.83%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:40
betPARX6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV -11.12%E -1.78%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%EV -2.82%E -1.83%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:40
ATG (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV -11.12%E -1.78%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%EV -2.82%E -1.83%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:40
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV -11.12%E -1.78%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%EV -2.82%E -1.83%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:39
Bally Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV -11.12%E -1.78%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%EV -2.82%E -1.83%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:40
PlayUp6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -11.12%E -1.78%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.35%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:50
NetBet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.61%EV -11.84%E -1.91%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.46%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.42%E -2.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 16:39
BetRivers6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -13.26%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -3.45%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 16:40
TABtouch6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -13.26%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -3.45%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 16:40
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -13.26%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.98%EV -4.72%E -3.12%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -12.69%E -3.30%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 16:39
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -13.26%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.98%EV -4.72%E -3.12%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -12.69%E -3.30%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 16:40
Unibet (NL)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -13.26%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.98%EV -4.72%E -3.12%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -12.69%E -3.30%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 16:40
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -13.26%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.14%EV -5.35%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.69%E -3.30%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -13.26%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.14%EV -5.35%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.69%E -3.30%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -14.68%E -2.45%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -4.76%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 16:15
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.68%E -2.45%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 16:40
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -14.68%E -2.45%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.35%E -3.56%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 16:30
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -14.68%E -2.45%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.96%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.83%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 16:40
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -14.68%E -2.45%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.96%EV -5.98%E -4.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.83%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 16:39
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -14.68%E -2.45%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -14.96%E -3.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 16:40
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -17.52%E -3.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.20%EV -7.87%E -5.39%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 16:19
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -21.79%E -3.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -0.929%E -0.592%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -13.83%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 11:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Matchbook8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-04-04 16:45
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.91%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.81%0.8%2026-04-04 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-04-04 16:50
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.31%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.5%2026-04-04 16:55