语言:简体中文
Gil Vicente v Casa Pia
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Gil Vicente (主队)
预测 58.86%1.70公平赔率
EV -5.83%
优势 -3.64%
Kelly -9.71%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.60
博彩公司预测分布
58.40%58.86%58.86%58.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.581.571.6065.36%63.47%63.69%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Casa Pia (客队)
预测 16.50%6.06公平赔率
EV -5.12%
优势 -0.890%
Kelly -1.08%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.75
博彩公司预测分布
16.33%16.50%16.50%16.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.505.605.605.7518.18%17.86%17.86%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.64%4.06公平赔率
EV -6.36%
优势 -1.67%
Kelly -2.27%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.80
博彩公司预测分布
24.64%24.64%24.64%24.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.723.733.8027.78%26.89%26.85%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Gil Vicente (主队)：58.86%；Casa Pia (客队)：16.50%；平局：24.64%。 对于“Casa Pia (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.06。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为5.75，期望值为-5.12%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -5.83%E -3.64%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.12%E -0.890%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -5.83%E -3.64%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.12%E -0.890%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -5.83%E -3.64%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -7.59%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 00:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -5.83%E -3.64%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -7.59%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -5.83%E -3.64%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -7.59%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -5.83%E -3.64%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -7.59%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.86%EV -7.59%E -4.84%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV -7.59%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.86%EV -7.59%E -4.84%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV -7.59%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -7.59%E -4.84%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -7.59%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -7.59%E -4.84%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -7.59%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -7.59%E -4.84%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -7.59%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -7.59%E -4.84%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -7.59%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -8.18%E -5.25%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -7.59%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -8.77%E -5.66%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -9.24%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -8.77%E -5.66%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -9.24%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -9.95%E -6.50%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.24%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。