Langue:Français
Gil Vicente v Casa Pia
Résultat du match
Gil Vicente (Local)
Prévision 52.34%1.91cote équitable
EV -4.22%
Avantage -2.30%
Kelly -5.08%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.99%52.44%52.22%54.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.761.751.8361.35%56.81%57.14%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Casa Pia (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.23%4.94cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -0.826%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.14%20.19%20.30%21.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.514.504.7523.81%22.17%22.22%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.43%3.65cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.63%27.37%27.48%28.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.363.403.5030.77%29.73%29.41%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Gil Vicente (Local) : 52.34% ; Casa Pia (Visiteur) : 20.23% ; Match nul : 27.43%. Pour Casa Pia (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.94. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 4.75, pour une espérance de -3.93% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -4.22%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -6.96%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.48%EV -5.26%E -2.91%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -8.98%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -3.93%E -0.826%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.96%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.18%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.03%EV -5.14%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.79%EV -7.28%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.96%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.96%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.98%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.00%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.00%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -12.42%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 19:52 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.09%EV -6.31%E -3.53%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.97%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -4.94%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 19:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.00%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.00%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.00%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.00%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 14:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.96%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.84%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 19:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.96%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.84%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 19:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -8.98%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -8.98%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 19:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.05%E -3.58%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.84%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-17 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -9.45%E -5.46%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -3.93%E -0.826%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 14:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.12%EV -12.07%E -7.18%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -3.93%E -0.826%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-17 14:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.94%EV -13.11%E -7.90%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -13.03%E -3.03%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-17 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.77%EV -14.16%E -8.64%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.60%EV -15.05%E -3.58%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.63%EV -10.84%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-17 14:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.10%EV -14.69%E -9.01%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -6.96%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-17 14:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (2)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.17% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.41% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 19:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53% | 13.5% | 2026-08-17 19:20 |
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