语言:简体中文
Gil Vicente v Arouca
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Gil Vicente (主队)
预测 54.00%1.85公平赔率
EV -5.49%
优势 -3.14%
Kelly -7.32%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.75
博彩公司预测分布
53.81%54.00%54.00%54.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.721.721.7559.88%58.25%58.14%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
Arouca (客队)
预测 20.19%4.95公平赔率
EV -5.09%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -1.38%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.70
博彩公司预测分布
19.91%20.19%20.19%20.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.624.604.7022.22%21.65%21.74%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.80%3.88公平赔率
EV -7.11%
优势 -1.98%
Kelly -2.74%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
25.80%25.80%25.80%26.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.563.583.6028.99%28.07%27.97%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Gil Vicente (主队)：54.00%；Arouca (客队)：20.19%；平局：25.80%。 对于“Arouca (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.95。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.70，期望值为-5.09%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -5.49%E -3.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -5.49%E -3.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.09%EV -6.57%E -3.80%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.09%EV -6.57%E -3.80%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.09%EV -6.57%E -3.80%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.09%EV -6.57%E -3.80%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -7.11%E -4.13%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -7.11%E -4.13%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -7.11%E -4.13%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -7.11%E -4.13%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -7.11%E -4.13%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -7.65%E -4.47%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -7.65%E -4.47%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -9.27%E -5.52%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -9.27%E -5.52%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -9.81%E -5.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。