Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.14
assuming max odds 26.00
assuming max odds 11.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Porto (Local): 84.47%; Rio Ave FC (Visit): 4.85%; Draw: 10.67%. For Rio Ave FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.60. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 26.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +26.21%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.34%EV -8.77%E -8.12%K -109.61%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV -12.62%E -0.701%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV +17.40%E +1.58%K +1.74%G +0.303% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.79%EV -5.39%E -4.81%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.06%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.15%EV +12.06%E +1.15%K +1.27%G +0.153% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 09:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.79%EV -5.39%E -4.81%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.06%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.15%EV +12.06%E +1.15%K +1.27%G +0.153% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 09:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.62%EV -7.92%E -7.27%K -88.05%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -17.48%E -1.03%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +12.06%E +1.15%K +1.27%G +0.153% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.47%EV -6.23%E -5.62%K -56.68%G +0.000% | 24.36I 4.11%NM 3.94%EV +18.25%E +0.749%K +0.781%G +0.143% | 10.01I 9.99%NM 9.59%EV +6.83%E +0.682%K +0.758%G +0.052% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.40%EV -5.39%E -4.81%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.03%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.56%EV +6.72%E +0.672%K +0.747%G +0.050% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -8.77%E -8.12%K -109.61%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +6.72%E +0.672%K +0.747%G +0.050% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -8.77%E -8.12%K -109.61%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +6.72%E +0.672%K +0.747%G +0.050% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 20:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.03%EV -3.70%E -3.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 18.80I 5.32%NM 5.16%EV -8.74%E -0.465%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 9.88I 10.12%NM 9.81%EV +5.44%E +0.551%K +0.613%G +0.033% | 3.2% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.26%EV -8.77%E -8.12%K -109.61%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.23%EV +6.80%E +0.309%K +0.324%G +0.022% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV +4.59%E +0.468%K +0.521%G +0.024% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.26%EV -8.77%E -8.12%K -109.61%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.23%EV +6.80%E +0.309%K +0.324%G +0.022% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV +4.59%E +0.468%K +0.521%G +0.024% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -6.23%E -5.62%K -56.68%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV +1.94%E +0.092%K +0.097%G +0.002% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV +1.39%E +0.146%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.30%EV -6.23%E -5.62%K -56.68%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.73%EV -2.91%E -0.146%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +1.39%E +0.146%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -8.77%E -8.12%K -109.61%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +1.94%E +0.092%K +0.097%G +0.002% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +1.39%E +0.146%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 19:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.94%EV -9.61%E -8.98%K -137.34%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +1.94%E +0.092%K +0.097%G +0.002% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +1.39%E +0.146%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.66%EV -8.77%E -8.12%K -109.61%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.71%EV -22.33%E -1.40%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV +1.39%E +0.146%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 20:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.66%EV -8.77%E -8.12%K -109.61%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.71%EV -22.33%E -1.40%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV +1.39%E +0.146%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 20:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.91%EV -7.08%E -6.44%K -70.79%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.05%EV -10.19%E -0.551%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.04%EV -0.747%E -0.080%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 20:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.18%EV -7.08%E -6.44%K -70.79%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.69%EV -2.91%E -0.146%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.13%EV -1.28%E -0.138%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 20:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.18%EV -7.08%E -6.44%K -70.79%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.69%EV -2.91%E -0.146%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.13%EV -1.28%E -0.138%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.89%EV -4.55%E -4.02%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -17.48%E -1.03%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -3.95%E -0.439%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -6.23%E -5.62%K -56.68%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +1.94%E +0.092%K +0.097%G +0.002% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -3.95%E -0.439%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -6.23%E -5.62%K -56.68%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +1.94%E +0.092%K +0.097%G +0.002% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -3.95%E -0.439%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.92%E -7.27%K -88.05%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV -12.62%E -0.701%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -3.95%E -0.439%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-22 20:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.79%EV -10.46%E -9.87%K -174.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.34%EV -32.04%E -2.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -3.95%E -0.439%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-22 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.38%EV -3.70%E -3.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.76%EV -19.90%E -1.21%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.86%EV -6.62%E -0.756%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.52%EV -4.55%E -4.02%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 22.50I 4.44%NM 4.24%EV +9.22%E +0.410%K +0.429%G +0.040% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.24%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 20:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -5.39%E -4.81%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -5.39%E -4.81%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 20:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -5.39%E -4.81%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -5.39%E -4.81%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 20:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.23%E -5.62%K -56.68%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +1.94%E +0.092%K +0.097%G +0.002% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-22 20:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.31%EV -6.23%E -5.62%K -56.68%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -2.91%E -0.146%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.31%EV -6.23%E -5.62%K -56.68%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -2.91%E -0.146%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.31%EV -6.23%E -5.62%K -56.68%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -2.91%E -0.146%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.31%EV -6.23%E -5.62%K -56.68%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -2.91%E -0.146%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.21%EV -5.39%E -4.81%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -22.33%E -1.40%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.21%EV -5.39%E -4.81%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -22.33%E -1.40%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.43%EV -7.08%E -6.44%K -70.79%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -2.91%E -0.146%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 16:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.43%EV -7.08%E -6.44%K -70.79%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -2.91%E -0.146%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.43%EV -7.08%E -6.44%K -70.79%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -2.91%E -0.146%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.43%EV -7.08%E -6.44%K -70.79%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -2.91%E -0.146%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.43%EV -7.08%E -6.44%K -70.79%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -2.91%E -0.146%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -7.92%E -7.27%K -88.05%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -7.92%E -7.27%K -88.05%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -7.92%E -7.27%K -88.05%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -9.29%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.53%EV -5.39%E -4.81%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +26.21%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.275% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -14.62%E -1.83%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.61%EV -5.39%E -4.81%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -2.91%E -0.146%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -14.62%E -1.83%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.53%EV -6.23%E -5.62%K -56.68%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -14.62%E -1.83%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.53%EV -6.23%E -5.62%K -56.68%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -14.62%E -1.83%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.56%EV -7.92%E -7.27%K -88.05%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV -12.62%E -0.701%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -14.62%E -1.83%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-22 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.90%EV -8.77%E -8.12%K -109.61%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.77%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -14.62%E -1.83%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.25%EV -7.92%E -7.27%K -88.05%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV -12.62%E -0.701%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -17.29%E -2.23%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.76%EV -5.39%E -4.81%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -19.96%E -2.66%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 20:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.02%EV -7.08%E -6.44%K -70.79%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.81%EV -7.77%E -0.409%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -19.96%E -2.66%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-22 20:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.97%EV -8.77%E -8.12%K -109.61%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.94%EV +11.65%E +0.507%K +0.530%G +0.062% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -19.96%E -2.66%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-22 20:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.93% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.64% | 0.6% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.71% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62% | 0.9% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.59% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.41% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.59% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.41% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.68% | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.39% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93% | 1.8% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |