Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.20
assuming max odds 24.00
assuming max odds 9.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Porto (Local): 83.43%; Moreirense FC (Visit): 4.78%; Draw: 11.79%. For Moreirense FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.91. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 24.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.78%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.88%EV -4.05%E -3.53%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.88%EV +14.78%E +0.616%K +0.643%G +0.095% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -28.10%E -4.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.88%EV -4.05%E -3.53%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.88%EV +14.78%E +0.616%K +0.643%G +0.095% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -28.10%E -4.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.35%EV -5.72%E -5.06%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +10.00%E +0.435%K +0.454%G +0.045% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.90%EV -3.22%E -2.78%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.08%EV +10.00%E +0.435%K +0.454%G +0.045% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -26.33%E -4.21%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.49%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 22.50I 4.44%NM 4.23%EV +7.61%E +0.338%K +0.354%G +0.027% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV -8.65%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.44%EV -4.05%E -3.53%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.57%EV +0.432%E +0.021%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.71%E -0.713%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.48%EV -5.72%E -5.06%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +0.432%E +0.021%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.97%EV +2.54%E +0.292%K +0.330%G +0.008% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.48%EV -5.72%E -5.06%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +0.432%E +0.021%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.97%EV +2.54%E +0.292%K +0.330%G +0.008% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.48%EV -5.72%E -5.06%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +0.432%E +0.021%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.97%EV +2.54%E +0.292%K +0.330%G +0.008% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.72%E -5.06%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV +0.432%E +0.021%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +0.186%E +0.022%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.90%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.50%EV +0.432%E +0.021%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -7.39%E -6.66%K -67.20%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +0.432%E +0.021%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV +0.186%E +0.022%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.61%EV -7.39%E -6.66%K -67.20%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +0.432%E +0.021%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.97%EV -8.65%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.48%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 20.74I 4.82%NM 4.64%EV -0.811%E -0.039%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.88%EV +4.31%E +0.487%K +0.549%G +0.024% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.95%EV -8.23%E -7.48%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV -4.35%E -0.218%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +6.08%E +0.676%K +0.760%G +0.046% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.22%EV -8.23%E -7.48%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.58%EV -4.35%E -0.218%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 14:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.22%EV -8.23%E -7.48%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.58%EV -4.35%E -0.218%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.61%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 4.83%EV -6.74%E -0.346%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -7.39%E -6.66%K -67.20%G +0.000% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 4.79%EV -6.74%E -0.346%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV -0.992%E -0.118%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -5.72%E -5.06%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV +6.08%E +0.676%K +0.760%G +0.046% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.50%EV -6.56%E -5.85%K -54.65%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.98%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV +6.08%E +0.676%K +0.760%G +0.046% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.28%EV -5.72%E -5.06%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -5.71%E -0.713%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.39%E -6.66%K -67.20%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +6.08%E +0.676%K +0.760%G +0.046% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.15%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -14.55%E -2.01%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.15%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -14.55%E -2.01%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.41%EV -6.56%E -5.85%K -54.65%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -5.71%E -0.713%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.41%EV -6.56%E -5.85%K -54.65%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -5.71%E -0.713%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.41%EV -6.56%E -5.85%K -54.65%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -5.71%E -0.713%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.41%EV -6.56%E -5.85%K -54.65%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -5.71%E -0.713%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.64%EV -5.72%E -5.06%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.64%EV -5.72%E -5.06%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.39%E -6.66%K -67.20%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.28%EV -2.76%E -0.335%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.65%EV -8.23%E -7.48%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.71%E -0.713%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.73%EV -10.73%E -10.03%K -153.27%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.72%EV -9.13%E -0.481%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.56%EV -8.65%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.75%EV -6.56%E -5.85%K -54.65%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -13.92%E -0.773%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV +0.186%E +0.022%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.28%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -13.92%E -0.773%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.28%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -13.92%E -0.773%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.28%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -13.92%E -0.773%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.28%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -13.92%E -0.773%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.28%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -13.92%E -0.773%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.28%EV -4.89%E -4.29%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -13.92%E -0.773%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -11.60%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.77%EV -8.23%E -7.48%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.00%EV -13.92%E -0.773%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.23%EV -19.85%E -2.92%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -6.56%E -5.85%K -54.65%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -18.70%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -17.49%E -2.50%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.46%EV -8.23%E -7.48%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -23.48%E -1.47%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV +0.186%E +0.022%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.90%EV -8.23%E -7.48%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -23.48%E -1.47%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -5.71%E -0.713%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.30%EV -6.56%E -5.85%K -54.65%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV -23.48%E -1.47%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -17.49%E -2.50%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 04:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.30%EV -6.56%E -5.85%K -54.65%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV -23.48%E -1.47%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -17.49%E -2.50%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 04:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.30%EV -6.56%E -5.85%K -54.65%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV -23.48%E -1.47%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -17.49%E -2.50%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 04:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.44%EV -7.39%E -6.66%K -67.20%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.65%EV -23.48%E -1.47%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -17.49%E -2.50%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 04:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.44%EV -7.39%E -6.66%K -67.20%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.65%EV -23.48%E -1.47%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -17.49%E -2.50%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 04:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.44%EV -7.39%E -6.66%K -67.20%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.65%EV -23.48%E -1.47%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -17.49%E -2.50%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 04:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.44%EV -7.39%E -6.66%K -67.20%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.65%EV -23.48%E -1.47%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -17.49%E -2.50%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 04:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.44%EV -7.39%E -6.66%K -67.20%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.65%EV -23.48%E -1.47%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -17.49%E -2.50%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 04:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.44%EV -7.39%E -6.66%K -67.20%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.65%EV -23.48%E -1.47%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -17.49%E -2.50%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 04:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.46%EV +0.117%E +0.098%K +0.585%G +0.001% | 14.43I 6.93%NM 6.52%EV -30.99%E -2.15%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 15.02%EV -26.10%E -4.16%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 07:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.93% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.69% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.21% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.21% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.21% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.91% | 25.97I 3.85%NM 3.80% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 10:25 |