Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Famalicão v Gil Vicente

Início: 2026-08-30 19:30 UTC

Final: Famalicão 0–0 Gil Vicente

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Famalicão (Local)

Previsão 50.21%1.99odd justa
EV -4.11%
Vantagem -2.15%
Kelly -4.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.83%50.19%50.12%51.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.851.851.9157.80%53.94%54.05%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gil Vicente (Visitante)

Previsão 21.00%4.76odd justa
EV +1.44%
Vantagem +0.299%
Kelly +0.377%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.98%21.01%21.01%22.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.354.404.8325.00%22.97%22.73%20.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.79%3.47odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -0.620%
Kelly -0.879%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.60%28.80%28.87%30.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.20%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Famalicão (Local): 50.21%; Gil Vicente (Visitante): 21.00%; Empate: 28.79%. Para Gil Vicente (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.76. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.83, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.44%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.70%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.98%EV +1.44%E +0.299%K +0.377%G +0.005%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.97%EV -4.12%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 19:15
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.47%EV -6.62%E -3.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.19%EV -2.34%E -0.502%K -0.640%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.34%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 19:25
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.47%EV -6.62%E -3.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.19%EV -2.34%E -0.502%K -0.640%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.34%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -3.39%E -0.736%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -3.39%E -0.736%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 19:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -4.61%E -2.43%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -4.61%E -2.43%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:45
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.49%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 19:25
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.56%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.13%EV -5.91%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.31%EV -7.00%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -6.54%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -4.61%E -2.43%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -7.59%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -2.11%E -0.620%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -5.61%E -2.99%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -7.59%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -7.59%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -5.61%E -2.99%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.59%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 19:20
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -5.61%E -2.99%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.59%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -7.59%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 19:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.59%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 19:05
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.59%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 19:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.59%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.59%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 19:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.54%EV -10.63%E -5.97%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -7.59%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -13.14%E -7.60%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -7.59%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.08%EV -8.44%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.08%EV -12.14%E -6.94%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 19:04
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -9.06%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -2.11%E -0.620%K -0.879%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 19:05
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -9.06%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 19:23
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.06%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -9.06%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.69%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 19:15
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 19:15
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.83%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 19:00
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.97%EV -6.62%E -3.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 18:55
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.17%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 19:15
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 19:15
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.74%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -13.89%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 19:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 48.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 30.36%-1.7%2026-08-30 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.47%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-08-30 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.47%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-08-30 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-08-30 19:25
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-30 19:25
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-08-30 19:25