Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Estoril v Rio Ave FC

Início: 2026-08-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Estoril 0–2 Rio Ave FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Estoril (Local)

Previsão 46.00%2.17odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.78%46.07%45.97%49.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.992.002.1254.64%50.35%50.00%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rio Ave FC (Visitante)

Previsão 26.99%3.70odd justa
EV +3.93%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescimento +0.054%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.39%26.87%27.02%27.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.523.503.8530.30%28.41%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.01%3.70odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -0.772%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.91%27.06%27.01%28.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.443.403.6030.30%29.11%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Estoril (Local): 46.00%; Rio Ave FC (Visitante): 26.99%; Empate: 27.01%. Para Rio Ave FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.70. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.93%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -12.14%E -6.36%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +3.93%E +1.02%K +1.38%G +0.054%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 06:34
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -12.14%E -6.36%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +3.93%E +1.02%K +1.38%G +0.054%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 06:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -12.14%E -6.36%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +3.93%E +1.02%K +1.38%G +0.054%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 06:34
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -12.14%E -6.36%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +3.93%E +1.02%K +1.38%G +0.054%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 06:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -12.14%E -6.36%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +3.93%E +1.02%K +1.38%G +0.054%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 06:39
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -12.14%E -6.36%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +3.93%E +1.02%K +1.38%G +0.054%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 06:39
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -14.90%E -8.05%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -0.119%E -0.032%K -0.044%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-19 06:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -14.90%E -8.05%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -0.119%E -0.032%K -0.044%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-19 06:29
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -14.90%E -8.05%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -0.119%E -0.032%K -0.044%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-19 06:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -15.82%E -8.65%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -1.47%E -0.402%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -15.82%E -8.65%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -1.47%E -0.402%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 06:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -15.82%E -8.65%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -1.47%E -0.402%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 06:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -15.82%E -8.65%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -1.47%E -0.402%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 06:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -15.82%E -8.65%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -1.47%E -0.402%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 06:34
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -15.82%E -8.65%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -1.47%E -0.402%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 06:34
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.46%EV -8.46%E -4.25%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.09%EV -2.28%E -0.630%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.45%EV -3.59%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 12:59
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.55%E -0.706%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.82%E -0.783%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -12.60%E -6.63%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -2.82%E -0.783%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.19%EV -9.84%E -5.02%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.84%EV -3.36%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.97%EV -7.37%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 11:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 12:59
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 13:05
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 12:57
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:09
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 14:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 14:05
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.12%EV -6.62%E -3.26%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 14:05
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -6.62%E -3.26%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:44
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.87%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:25
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.32%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.87%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.32%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.87%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -2.48%E -1.17%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -2.48%E -1.17%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 13:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:54
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:04
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 12:59
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 12:58
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:05
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 13:45
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 13:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -9.84%E -5.02%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.30%E -5.28%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 14:59
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:05
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 12:39
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 12:39
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.15%EV -10.76%E -5.55%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 11:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-08-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-08-22 15:15
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%1.2%2026-08-22 15:05
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.85%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%1.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-08-22 14:30