Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.93
assuming max odds 4.47
assuming max odds 3.71
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estoril (Local): 50.76%; Moreirense FC (Visit): 22.64%; Draw: 26.60%. For Moreirense FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -4.06%E -2.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.59%EV +1.22%E +0.272%K +0.350%G +0.004% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.34%EV -6.12%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-25 15:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.63%E -0.613%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-25 15:12 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.63%E -0.613%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-25 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.63%E -0.613%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-25 15:12 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -2.63%E -0.613%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-25 14:53 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -8.12%E -4.49%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -3.77%E -0.886%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -8.12%E -4.49%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -3.77%E -0.886%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -8.12%E -4.49%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -3.77%E -0.886%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-25 14:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -8.12%E -4.49%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -3.77%E -0.886%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -8.12%E -4.49%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -3.77%E -0.886%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -8.12%E -4.49%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -3.77%E -0.886%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -8.12%E -4.49%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -3.77%E -0.886%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -1.60%E -0.432%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-25 11:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -7.61%E -4.18%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.60%E -0.432%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-25 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-25 15:12 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -6.60%E -3.59%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-25 14:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-25 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-25 15:26 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -7.61%E -4.18%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-25 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -10.91%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 15:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-25 15:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -8.12%E -4.49%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.59%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-25 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-25 15:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87%EV -7.61%E -4.18%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.69%EV -5.80%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.44%EV -1.33%E -0.359%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-25 14:22 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.06%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-25 15:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.06%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-25 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-25 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -7.61%E -4.18%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-25 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -7.61%E -4.18%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-25 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -10.15%E -5.74%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -10.66%E -6.06%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -10.66%E -6.06%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-25 14:52 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-25 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-25 15:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-25 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-25 15:26 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-25 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-25 11:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-25 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-25 15:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -11.17%E -6.38%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -11.17%E -6.38%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -11.17%E -6.38%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.37%EV -11.67%E -6.71%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.56%EV -12.18%E -7.04%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58%EV -10.56%E -2.67%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-25 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.37%EV -12.18%E -7.04%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.50%EV -10.56%E -2.67%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-25 15:23 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.51%EV -12.69%E -7.38%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.43%EV -10.56%E -2.67%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-25 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.45%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.60%EV -10.79%E -2.74%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-25 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.69%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-25 15:26 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.69%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-25 15:11 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.69%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-25 15:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -12.82%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-25 15:26 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -12.82%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -5.59%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-25 14:21 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -13.96%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-25 07:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -10.66%E -6.06%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.96%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-25 14:22 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.15%EV -12.69%E -7.38%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -16.22%E -4.38%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -13.57%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-25 15:11 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-10-25 15:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-10-25 15:26 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-25 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-10-25 15:23 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-10-25 15:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-10-25 15:26 |