默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Estoril v Arouca

开赛时间: 2026-09-07 19:17 UTC

最终结果: Estoril 0–0 Arouca

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Estoril (主队)

预测 38.77%2.58公平赔率
EV -2.29%
优势 -0.908%
Kelly -1.51%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.52

博彩公司预测分布
37.10%38.82%38.81%41.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.172.392.402.5246.08%41.76%41.67%39.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arouca (客队)

预测 33.64%2.97公平赔率
EV -1.44%
优势 -0.491%
Kelly -0.746%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.93

博彩公司预测分布
32.17%33.67%33.58%35.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.742.752.9338.46%36.47%36.36%34.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.59%3.62公平赔率
EV -0.688%
优势 -0.191%
Kelly -0.265%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.02%27.51%27.61%28.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.363.403.6031.25%29.76%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Estoril (主队):38.77%;Arouca (客队):33.64%;平局:27.59%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.62。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.60,期望值为-0.688%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.33%EV -2.29%E -0.908%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.42%EV -2.78%E -0.963%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.24%EV -5.65%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.33%EV -2.29%E -0.908%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.42%EV -2.78%E -0.963%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.24%EV -5.65%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 18:55
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.54%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.01%EV -1.44%E -0.491%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.45%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-07 19:10
GTbets🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.37%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.13%EV -10.18%E -3.81%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.50%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 18:55
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -10.86%E -4.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 18:55
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -10.86%E -4.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 18:50
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -11.87%E -4.53%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 18:50
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.07%EV -7.83%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 19:14
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:05
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 18:59
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 19:13
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.78%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 19:10
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.78%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 19:10
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.78%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.78%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.78%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.78%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 19:10
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 18:55
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 19:15
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 18:55
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 19:00
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 19:15
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 19:00
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 19:00
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 19:14
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 19:05
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 18:54
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 18:58
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -2.45%E -0.844%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -0.688%E -0.191%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 19:10
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 19:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.86%E -4.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 19:10
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.86%E -4.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 19:10
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -12.54%E -4.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 17:05
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.58%EV -9.66%E -4.14%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-07 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.58%EV -9.66%E -4.14%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-07 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.58%EV -9.66%E -4.14%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-07 19:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -10.04%E -4.33%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 19:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.68%EV -10.04%E -4.33%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.68%EV -10.04%E -4.33%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.68%EV -10.04%E -4.33%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 19:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 19:05
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 19:05
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.86%E -4.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 18:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.54%E -4.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.70%E -6.68%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 18:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -15.86%E -7.31%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.17%EV -6.82%E -2.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.76%EV -8.14%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 18:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 38.00%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00%0.0%2026-09-07 19:15
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.47%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-09-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.85%0.5%2026-09-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.85%0.5%2026-09-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.85%0.5%2026-09-07 19:15
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.90%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-09-07 19:15