A Escola das Odds

CF Estrela v Famalicão

Início: 2026-05-11 19:15 UTC

Final: CF Estrela 0–0 Famalicão

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

CF Estrela (Local)

Previsão 26.15%3.82odd justa
EV -0.619%
Vantagem -0.163%
Kelly -0.221%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.51%26.19%26.16%28.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.573.603.8030.77%28.00%27.78%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Famalicão (Visitante)

Previsão 45.93%2.18odd justa
EV -2.64%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -2.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.81%45.91%45.94%47.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.832.022.022.1254.64%49.39%49.50%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.92%3.58odd justa
EV -2.27%
Vantagem -0.650%
Kelly -0.909%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.17%27.90%27.90%28.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.323.353.5033.33%30.08%29.85%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 18:33
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -10.45%E -5.36%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:34
1xBet3.77I 26.53%NM 25.72%EV -1.40%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Pinnacle3.77I 26.53%NM 25.51%EV -1.40%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.69%EV -5.39%E -2.62%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.80%EV -3.39%E -0.980%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 18:35
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.701%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.701%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:05
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:05
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:05
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:04
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:04
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:04
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 12:05
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 12:05
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.31%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.68%EV -4.23%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 18:30
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -6.77%E -3.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:33
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -6.77%E -3.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:34
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -9.53%E -4.84%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 12:04
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -9.53%E -4.84%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 12:05
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -9.53%E -4.84%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 12:05
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -9.53%E -4.84%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.93%EV -9.99%E -5.10%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 12:05
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -5.33%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.30%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:35
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.60%EV -4.93%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 18:34
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.60%EV -4.93%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 18:34
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 18:35
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:34
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.45%E -5.36%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 12:04
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -10.91%E -5.62%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 12:05
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 18:20
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:34
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:34
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -11.36%E -5.89%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-06 12:05
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 18:19
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:19
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 18:34
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 18:20
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 18:19
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 18:19
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 18:19
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -9.53%E -4.84%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-11 18:34
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.45%E -5.36%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-11 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -15.96%E -8.72%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -16.23%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-11 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:19
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:19
GTbets3.43I 29.15%NM 27.50%EV -10.30%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -2.64%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -5.90%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 14:59
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -2.64%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.27%E -0.650%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 18:19
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-11 18:34
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.50%EV -8.61%E -4.33%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.39%E -3.70%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-11 18:35
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:19
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:19
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:19
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -15.00%E -4.62%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 18:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-05-11 18:35
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-05-11 18:35
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-05-11 18:35
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.0%2026-05-11 18:34