La escuela de los momios

CF Estrela v Famalicão

Inicio: 2026-05-11 19:15 UTC

Final: CF Estrela 0–0 Famalicão

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

CF Estrela (Local)

Predicción 26.15%3.82momio equitativo
EV -0.619%
Ventaja -0.163%
Kelly -0.221%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%26.19%26.16%28.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.573.603.8030.77%28.00%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Famalicão (Visitante)

Predicción 45.93%2.18momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.81%45.91%45.94%47.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.022.022.1254.64%49.39%49.50%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.92%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.650%
Kelly -0.909%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.17%27.90%27.90%28.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.323.353.5033.33%30.08%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 18:33
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -10.45%E -5.36%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:34
1xBet3.77I 26.53%NM 25.72%EV -1.40%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Pinnacle3.77I 26.53%NM 25.51%EV -1.40%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.69%EV -5.39%E -2.62%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.80%EV -3.39%E -0.980%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 18:35
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.701%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.701%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:05
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:05
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:05
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:04
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:04
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:04
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 12:05
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 12:05
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.31%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.68%EV -4.23%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 18:30
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -6.77%E -3.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:33
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -6.77%E -3.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:34
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -9.53%E -4.84%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 12:04
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -9.53%E -4.84%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 12:05
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -9.53%E -4.84%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 12:05
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -9.53%E -4.84%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.93%EV -9.99%E -5.10%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 12:05
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -5.33%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.30%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:35
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.60%EV -4.93%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 18:34
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.60%EV -4.93%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 18:34
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 18:35
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:34
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.45%E -5.36%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 12:04
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -10.91%E -5.62%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 12:05
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 18:20
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:34
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:34
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -11.36%E -5.89%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-06 12:05
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 18:19
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:19
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 18:34
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 18:20
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 18:19
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 18:19
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.85%E -2.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 18:19
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -9.53%E -4.84%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-11 18:34
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.45%E -5.36%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-11 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -15.96%E -8.72%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -16.23%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-11 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:19
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:19
GTbets3.43I 29.15%NM 27.50%EV -10.30%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -2.64%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -5.90%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 14:59
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -2.64%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.27%E -0.650%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 18:19
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-11 18:34
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.50%EV -8.61%E -4.33%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.39%E -3.70%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.15%E -4.07%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-11 18:35
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:19
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:19
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:19
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -15.00%E -4.62%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 18:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-05-11 18:35
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-05-11 18:35
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-05-11 18:35
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.0%2026-05-11 18:34