La scuola delle quote

Casa Pia v Rio Ave FC

Inizio: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Finale: Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Casa Pia (Casa)

Previsione 50.22%1.99quota equa
EV -2.58%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.20%50.34%50.32%54.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.831.831.9458.82%54.75%54.64%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rio Ave FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.89%4.37quota equa
EV +3.01%
Vantaggio +0.670%
Kelly +0.861%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.70%22.79%22.87%24.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.114.104.5026.67%24.31%24.39%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.89%3.72quota equa
EV +0.835%
Vantaggio +0.223%
Kelly +0.304%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.84%26.88%26.81%28.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.513.503.7532.26%28.53%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -14.13%E -8.26%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +3.01%E +0.670%K +0.861%G +0.026%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV +0.835%E +0.223%K +0.304%G +0.003%7.4%2026-05-16 16:25
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.55%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.53%EV +2.10%E +0.470%K +0.606%G +0.013%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.92%EV -7.50%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.724%E +0.165%K +0.213%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:55
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -0.879%E -0.203%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:50
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -1.57%E -0.364%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -1.57%E -0.364%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 16:50
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -1.57%E -0.364%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:55
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -10.61%E -5.96%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -1.57%E -0.364%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -0.509%E -0.138%K -0.189%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -10.61%E -5.96%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -1.57%E -0.364%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -0.509%E -0.138%K -0.189%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:55
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -11.11%E -6.28%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -1.57%E -0.364%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -0.509%E -0.138%K -0.189%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -11.11%E -6.28%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -1.57%E -0.364%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -0.509%E -0.138%K -0.189%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -11.11%E -6.28%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -1.57%E -0.364%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -0.509%E -0.138%K -0.189%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -11.11%E -6.28%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -1.57%E -0.364%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -0.509%E -0.138%K -0.189%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:55
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.04%EV -2.58%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.68%EV -2.02%E -0.473%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.27%EV -4.27%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 16:50
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%EV -5.59%E -2.97%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -2.71%E -0.638%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:52
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%EV -5.59%E -2.97%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -2.71%E -0.638%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:55
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -11.61%E -6.60%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -2.71%E -0.638%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -1.85%E -0.508%K -0.699%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -12.12%E -6.92%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -2.71%E -0.638%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -1.85%E -0.508%K -0.699%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -12.12%E -6.92%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -2.71%E -0.638%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -1.85%E -0.508%K -0.699%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -12.12%E -6.92%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -2.71%E -0.638%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -1.85%E -0.508%K -0.699%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:35
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:45
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:45
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -12.62%E -7.25%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -12.62%E -7.25%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:55
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -13.62%E -7.92%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -13.62%E -7.92%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:55
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.93%EV -6.59%E -3.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.61%EV -4.08%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.46%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:45
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 16:40
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.38%EV -5.09%E -2.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:50
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -14.63%E -8.60%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 16:55
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:55
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.59%E -2.97%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:35
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:35
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -0.509%E -0.138%K -0.189%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:35
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:35
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 16:40
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 16:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 16:40
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 16:34
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 16:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.58%E -1.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.58%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:45
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.58%E -1.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.58%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:45
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -9.58%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.51%EV -10.61%E -5.96%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 16:50
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -8.60%E -4.73%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:45
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:54
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -14.16%E -3.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -14.16%E -3.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -14.16%E -3.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -16.64%E -5.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-16 16:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-05-16 16:55
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.92%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-05-16 16:55