La scuola delle quote

Casa Pia v Rio Ave FC

Inizio: 2026-05-17 16:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Casa Pia (Casa)

Previsione 54.90%1.82quota equa
EV -3.38%
Vantaggio -1.92%
Kelly -4.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.97%54.84%55.04%57.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.541.691.701.7664.94%59.23%58.82%56.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rio Ave FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.27%4.70quota equa
EV +4.88%
Vantaggio +0.990%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescita +0.061%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.37%21.35%21.20%22.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.344.404.9325.64%23.07%22.73%20.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.83%4.20quota equa
EV -2.32%
Vantaggio -0.565%
Kelly -0.747%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.40%23.80%23.76%26.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.853.854.1030.77%25.97%25.97%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.37%EV +4.88%E +0.990%K +1.24%G +0.061%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.81%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 09:43
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.02%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.96%EV -1.71%E -0.371%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.03%EV -3.98%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-12 01:14
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.14%E -0.465%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 22:03
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -11.06%E -6.83%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -3.20%E -0.704%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 22:49
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 07:44
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 22:10
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 23:04
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 23:04
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 07:44
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 22:04
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 22:05
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -9.41%E -5.71%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 22:48
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.33%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 07:44
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.33%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 07:43
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 00:04
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 07:43
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 23:04
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.85%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 09:54
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 22:04
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -11.06%E -6.83%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-11 22:09
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.40%EV -13.81%E -8.79%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.00%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-11 22:49
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.35%EV -10.22%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.12%EV -2.79%E -0.684%K -0.906%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 07:52
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 08:54
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.41%E -5.71%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 08:54
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-11 22:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -11.06%E -6.83%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -22.57%E -6.94%K -10.03%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-11 22:04
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 07:44
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 07:44
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 07:43
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.01%EV -13.26%E -8.39%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-11 22:49
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 05:54
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 05:54
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 05:54
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 05:54
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 55.22%EV -15.45%E -10.03%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.80%EV -17.03%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.98%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-11 22:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 37.06%1.34I 74.63%NM 42.86%2.86I 34.97%NM 20.08%74.1%2026-05-12 07:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-05-12 07:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-05-12 07:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-05-12 07:44